Ned Riley
Ned Riley
economic federal move reserve stock support yesterday
The Federal Reserve is not here to support the stock market. This move yesterday (Wednesday) was done for economic reasons.
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What's going to be key over the next week and determine how stocks perform is the interplay of pre-announcements versus brokerage upgrades. The corporate news will become more relevant than the economic news as we get closer to the period of quarterly reporting.
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Theoretically, the incumbent wants the economic recovery to coincide with the election, but really it's a coincidence that those years tend to be positive. I think it's more that there's a good feeling overall during that year -- everyone is promised the world and no one says anything bad to upset the markets.
economic question
But the question is more about economic growth.
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There's a pause today, but the bulls still have the upper hand. The economic releases continue to support the case for strong economic growth through 2004 and a continued recovery in the labor market. Yet there are still plenty of skeptical people out there, suggesting the market could continue to build on the gains.
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It really does reflect the focus of American businesses on profitability because this is now substantially into this economic recovery and companies are still producing results that are substantially above long-term averages.
economic ignore negative news
Ignore the negative economic news because the market's discounted most of it,
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If the Fed is committed to slowing the economy, then I do think demand for technology will slow.
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I also feel very strongly that Procter & Gamble's strategy is not going to be linked only to Procter & Gamble, ... We will see other Dow-type companies that either have some economic sensitivity or a slowing of revenue growth start to announce restructurings.
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The economic strength that we've seen in the last six weeks has been what I call deflationary.
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The economic news today has not been very supportive of a strong economic scenario.
earnings grow growth level ratio reasonable relative stock
I like Merck, in particular, because here's a stock that's retreated dramatically from its high, but still has its earnings growth-rate intact, ... This company, I think, can grow about 13 to 15 percent. And its price-to-earnings ratio now is getting down to a level that I think is very reasonable relative to its long-term growth rate.
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I'm reluctant to revisit things like talk of the 'Goldilocks economy,' but what I think you did see the market react to is Greenspan outlining an environment that is balanced, but with a fairly strong upward bias,
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It's something of an uplifting experience for us in the investing community to see that companies really are taking their accounting seriously. An exercise that CEOs seemed to treat as rote and automatic is viewed totally differently.