Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silveris an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseballand elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionJournalist
Date of Birth13 January 1978
CityEast Lansing, MI
CountryUnited States of America
I think punditry serves no purpose.
I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs.
I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts.
One of the pervasive risks that we face in the information age, as I wrote in the introduction, is that even if the amount of knowledge in the world is increasing, the gap between what we know and what we think we know may be widening.
I know it's cheaper to fund an op-ed columnist than a team of reporters, but I think it confuses the mission of what these great journalistic brands are about,
If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it.
Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline.
I don't think you should limit what you read.
I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have.
I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over.
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.
I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.'
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake.