Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silveris an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseballand elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionJournalist
Date of Birth13 January 1978
CityEast Lansing, MI
CountryUnited States of America
A lot of things can't be modeled very well.
Accountability doesn't mean apologizing.
We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup.
Racism is predictable. It's predicted by interaction or lack thereof with people unlike you, people of other races.
We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way.
Data scientist is just a sexed up word for statistician.
Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise.
If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy.
If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot.
People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is.
When a possibility is unfamiliar to us, we do not even think about it.
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
We look at all the polls, not just the Gallup Poll. So, it's kind of like if you have, you know, four out of five doctors agree that reducing cholesterol reduces your risk of a heart attack, Gallup is like the fifth doctor.
I have the same friends and the same bad habits.