Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silveris an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseballand elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionJournalist
Date of Birth13 January 1978
CityEast Lansing, MI
CountryUnited States of America
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken.
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.
By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.
We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise.
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen
New ideas are sometimes found in the most granular details of a problem where few others bother to look.
We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty.
Success makes you less intimidated by things.
There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns.
Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference.