Marc Pado
Marc Pado
anticipate clear fed funds soon stop trying
The 10-year has been trying to anticipate the fed funds rate. As soon as (Fed policy-makers) made it clear that they weren't going to stop at 4.75 percent, there was a big jump.
ball broken crude curve focus high hit markets needs news question tone turned yield
There is no question that the tone has turned more positive. We haven't broken out yet, but the markets are poised. Now all we need is for the news to hit the ball out of the park, and it needs to be perfect. Crude is still high and the yield curve is still flat, but the market's focus is on other things right now.
companies hear pulse retailers tech
What we need is to hear from companies that take the pulse of the consumer. Tech will be one of those groups. Retailers will be another.
growth positive rather
Most everyone has rather positive expectations for double-digit (corporate earnings) growth for the first quarter. That is already 'baked in the cake'.
ground help hold looking mergers
Mergers are looking to help us hold our ground today.
bulls continued crude help market obstacles positive rally reinforce represent retail sales strength support weakness
While we would like to see a follow-through day, the positive implications from yesterday's rally should help reinforce a support under the market at Tuesday's intraday lows. Weakness in same-store retail sales and continued strength in crude will represent the first obstacles for the bulls today.
last perhaps yesterday
Yesterday was perhaps as technically disappointing as last Friday.
hikes impact quite rate
We're not going to feel the impact of these rate hikes for quite some time.
coming date flows money tax
With the tax date deadline, you're getting money flows coming into the market.
afternoon event sets tone
It's probably going to be the one event in the afternoon that sets the tone for how we finish.
absorb companies fears fourth negative number quarter raises saw today
The negative productivity number we saw today about the fourth quarter raises fears that companies are not going to be able to absorb those costs.
attention good greenspan market news raised remove shifted time
Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings.
good news remove time
Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market,
above average basis bigger broader cautious comments faces factors impact moving today
It will impact the Dow but on broader basis it won't do much to the market. I think there are much bigger factors today such as the semiconductor index above its 200-day moving average and it faces some cautious comments out of Merrill,