Marc Pado
Marc Pado
ball broken crude curve focus high hit markets needs news question tone turned yield
There is no question that the tone has turned more positive. We haven't broken out yet, but the markets are poised. Now all we need is for the news to hit the ball out of the park, and it needs to be perfect. Crude is still high and the yield curve is still flat, but the market's focus is on other things right now.
afternoon event sets tone
It's probably going to be the one event in the afternoon that sets the tone for how we finish.
continue expected fed market needs question recent retail sales shows slowing whether
Yields, especially on the long end, have been dogging the market in recent weeks. And retail sales down more than expected shows enough of a slowing to question whether or not the Fed needs to continue to act.
broken clear current earnings expect expected fed focus levels rate shift support supports
Those very short-term support levels were broken yesterday, but the supports under the current levels are substantial. Now that the Fed has made it clear that we will see one if not two more rate hikes, the uncertainty has been removed. We expect the focus to shift to first-quarter earnings results, and they are expected to be good.
added additional basis faded fed gave investors juice june market needed overhead points potential rally serious time yesterday
Every time investors think the Fed is going to be one-and-done, they rally the market 100 points. Yesterday was no exception. The potential for an additional 25 basis points in June faded from over 50% to about 28%. That gave the market the added juice it needed to penetrate serious overhead supply.
continue data excuse fed figures investors past provide raising rates relieved revised slightly though
Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.
although earnings focal main starting
Earnings will be the main focal point, although the rumbling is already starting about the upcoming FOMC meeting.
left market oil plenty plus production
Net-net, there's probably plenty of oil in the market. OPEC left production quotas, so that's a plus for the market this morning.
market post settle unexpected
Post 'quadruple-witching', it would not be unexpected to see the market settle down a bit.
add companies fail fourth holiday likes nobody season
Nobody likes to fail in the fourth quarter. There are going to be companies that did well in the holiday season and they will be able to add to gains.
card earnings iranian key market obviously resolved short wild
Obviously the Iranian thing is a wild card and nothing's going to get resolved in the short term, but the earnings are really what's key to the market and any longer-term perspective.
companies hear pulse retailers tech
What we need is to hear from companies that take the pulse of the consumer. Tech will be one of those groups. Retailers will be another.
anticipate clear fed funds soon stop trying
The 10-year has been trying to anticipate the fed funds rate. As soon as (Fed policy-makers) made it clear that they weren't going to stop at 4.75 percent, there was a big jump.
domino effect negative news
It is a domino effect of negative news.