Marc Pado
Marc Pado
continue data excuse fed figures investors past provide raising rates relieved revised slightly though
Even though the figures were revised slightly lower, investors were relieved because the data won't provide the Fed with an excuse to continue raising rates past January.
bulls continue earnings opportunity roll
The bulls had a real opportunity. Earnings continue to roll in, and for the most part they are in-line or better than expected.
attention continue december earnings employment market needs next plate report shift starting step
By the end of this week, the attention will shift to the December employment report and then on to earnings starting next week. By the end of the month, earnings and forward-looking projections will be what needs to step up to the plate if the market is to continue the rally.
coming concerns continued energy fallen further increases market oil prices push quickly rates several support taken trading war winning
In the war of rates vs. oil, one would have to say that oil is winning out. Concerns of further rate increases are coming to fruition, yet the market has continued to push higher. Energy prices have fallen quickly and have taken out several trading support levels.
continue expected fed market needs question recent retail sales shows slowing whether
Yields, especially on the long end, have been dogging the market in recent weeks. And retail sales down more than expected shows enough of a slowing to question whether or not the Fed needs to continue to act.
bulls continued crude help market obstacles positive rally reinforce represent retail sales strength support weakness
While we would like to see a follow-through day, the positive implications from yesterday's rally should help reinforce a support under the market at Tuesday's intraday lows. Weakness in same-store retail sales and continued strength in crude will represent the first obstacles for the bulls today.
absorb companies fears fourth negative number quarter raises saw today
The negative productivity number we saw today about the fourth quarter raises fears that companies are not going to be able to absorb those costs.
cause crude decline earnings economic ending following friday investors list major meeting outweigh reports short sure tuesday
I'm not sure that Friday's decline will outweigh this week's long list of earnings reports and short list of economic data, ending on Friday with fourth-quarter GDP. Crude is making investors nervous, and by the end of the week, the FOMC meeting on the following Tuesday will also be a major cause for concern.
attention good greenspan market news raised remove shifted time
Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market. Having raised the question, the market has shifted its attention to Greenspan from earnings.
good news remove time
Any time you remove uncertainty, it's good news for the market,
above average basis bigger broader cautious comments faces factors impact moving today
It will impact the Dow but on broader basis it won't do much to the market. I think there are much bigger factors today such as the semiconductor index above its 200-day moving average and it faces some cautious comments out of Merrill,
behind bullish data earnings economic federal higher hour interest iran market opinion plenty positive rally rates releases rising strong sway threat
It will take some strong earnings and bullish forecasts, as well as positive economic data, to keep the rally going. There are plenty of economic data and earnings releases to sway market opinion from hour to hour and day to day. Behind it all, there is the rising threat of geopolitical tensions with Iran and higher interest rates out of the Federal Reserve.
broken clear current earnings expect expected fed focus levels rate shift support supports
Those very short-term support levels were broken yesterday, but the supports under the current levels are substantial. Now that the Fed has made it clear that we will see one if not two more rate hikes, the uncertainty has been removed. We expect the focus to shift to first-quarter earnings results, and they are expected to be good.
added additional basis faded fed gave investors juice june market needed overhead points potential rally serious time yesterday
Every time investors think the Fed is going to be one-and-done, they rally the market 100 points. Yesterday was no exception. The potential for an additional 25 basis points in June faded from over 50% to about 28%. That gave the market the added juice it needed to penetrate serious overhead supply.