Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
apply continues decline downward imports iranian manifest next notion petroleum prices relatively remains rise situation week
If the rise in imports and utilization manifest this week continues next week, it could apply some downward pressure. Of course, any decline in petroleum prices would be predicated on the notion that the Iranian geopolitical situation remains relatively quiet.
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Next week is a huge week for data, and it is likely to show continued economic growth and inflation well under control.
allow drop slight typical week
It is typical to see a slight drop in utilization in the first week of the year. This slight drop, coupled with imports, could allow for a slight crude-inventory build.
average couple higher last likely moving prices saw toward volatile weeks year
A couple of weeks ago we saw prices were moving toward $70 again. This is a very volatile marketplace but I think on the whole we are likely to see the average price this year higher than last year.
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OPEC's statements and quota decision announced at the beginning of next week could exert a somewhat bearish impact on prices.
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The retail sales report was the most significant piece of data we had in weeks and that certainly had the stock market going. It points to a solid first quarter, with earnings growth.
due energy following higher last next risk suit upside week
After the PPI bounced last week due to higher energy costs, there is a big risk of the CPI following suit next week. There is significant upside risk there.
average gasoline likely pump records
With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
declining employment orders performed prices sector service
The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
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The stock market is reacting to the strong earnings reports we've seen earlier today. But sooner or later, companies may have to start passing through the increase in energy costs or be hurt by it.
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The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.
appear inflation pressures
Is inflation dead? Not yet. If this moderating of inflationary pressures were to appear in the other reports, it could bode well for the economy.
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The worst possible outcome for the stock market is that it takes a month to decide the election,
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The saber-rattling on both sides of the table has led to some pricing in of risk, but it's quite conceivable we could see prices go back to $60, even the high $50s, if this dispute reaches a resolution or even a stalemate.