Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
core increase inflation january percent rate since
The month-over-month increase at 0.4 percent was the swiftest rate since January 2005. The implication is that core inflation may be rising.
declining employment orders performed prices sector service
The service sector performed well, with new orders rising, prices declining and employment inching up.
believe capacity cents drivers driving economy extra fuel good handle higher people per stop tough
American drivers have the capacity to handle higher fuel costs. With the economy in good shape, it is tough to believe people will stop driving because of an extra 50 or 75 cents per gallon.
affected august economy initially numbers perhaps revision seeing shows stronger
What we're seeing is a lot stronger numbers than were anticipated, also with an upward revision in August and July. All of this bodes well for the economy and shows perhaps the economy was not as severely affected by the hurricanes as initially anticipated.
bear persist
If the inversion is to persist or deepen, then it may be interpreted as a real bear sign.
appears bigger capacity concerns excess market question raise tap unlikely
The bigger question is does OPEC have excess capacity that it can tap into in the longer-term, ... It appears they're unlikely to raise their quotas, and that's not going to assuage market concerns about their capacity.
continued domestic employment fuel further gains gross growth higher home interest mitigate product sales slowing solid strong
Strong continued gross domestic product growth and solid employment gains should fuel further home sales and may mitigate some of the slowing engendered by higher interest rates.
certainly data earnings market piece points report retail sales solid stock weeks
The retail sales report was the most significant piece of data we had in weeks and that certainly had the stock market going. It points to a solid first quarter, with earnings growth.
due energy following higher last next risk suit upside week
After the PPI bounced last week due to higher energy costs, there is a big risk of the CPI following suit next week. There is significant upside risk there.
crude further nuclear price push situation
A further deterioration of the situation in Nigeria, or escalation of nuclear brinkmanship with the Iranians, could push the (New York) price of crude further to 70 dollars.
economy implicitly imply indicate industrial levels likely orders remain sector strong
Strong levels of unfilled orders imply a strong U.S. economy and implicitly indicate more manufacturing in the pipelines. Clearly, the industrial sector is likely to remain strong in the near- and medium-term.
economic katrina number resilience robust service shown survey wake
The ISM service survey joins a number of economic indicators that have shown robust economic resilience in the wake of Katrina and Rita,
average gasoline likely pump records
With gasoline futures at records a nationwide average of $3 at the pump is likely in the near-term.
biggest concerns gas government natural refined reserve strategic
There is no strategic government reserve of natural gas or refined products, and right now the biggest concerns in the marketplace are for products.