James Awad
James Awad
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The best time in the stock market is when interest rates are low and earnings are poised to grow.
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The bias at this time of year should be up and, if it's not, it will be because of Southeast Asia.
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The best news is cresting right now, ... so it very well may be that we had a fabulous run in the market from March 2003 to January 2004, we've sort of marked time since then, and we'll roll over for the rest of the year until we get better visibility on 2005.
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As long as we believe the economy's poised to recover, this is the best time for stocks.
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Once the Russell 2000 starts to move because it is fundamentally more attractive, you'll see a lot of money chasing limited market capitalization stocks. You can get a very significant move in the Russell 2000 in a very short time and I would anticipate that happening starting very soon.
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When all is said and done, third-quarter earnings will probably be good and fourth-quarter forecasts good enough to cool some of the worries about inflationary pressures hurting corporate profits,
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When all is said and done, I think the market will sprint higher toward the end of the year. But it's going to take continued encouraging earnings and economic reports to move it along.
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What's gonna happen here is you're going to see a cat and mouse game between Bush and Iraq for some time. I suspect that a month from now we'll be back to where we were yesterday before the letter came out.
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The stock is cheap, not well followed, and I think it's undervalued, ... The stock currently trades at about $21, and I think it will earn about $2.60 a share for the year.
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The stock is at $24 a share now, down from $50, ... The company is extremely well positioned, the stock could go up 10 points if there is evidence that the economy turns in third quarter.
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The risk is we are staring down the barrel of negative pre-announcements, so the market has the potential to be disappointed short term.
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There's really nothing you can do about it because you need a parking spot.
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Price-to-earnings ratios are high by historic standards, but the bulls would say that, given low interest rates, they're not too expensive. I think they're generally not convincingly cheap or expensive -- the key is to find individual stocks that are cheap.
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The tradeoff and struggle in the market is the power of good earnings and the strength of the economy against the fear of higher interest rates and rising oil prices,