James Awad
James Awad
company economy evidence extremely points share stock third turns
The stock is at $24 a share now, down from $50, ... The company is extremely well positioned, the stock could go up 10 points if there is evidence that the economy turns in third quarter.
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While there is an economic impact, they are able to grow the company reasonably, ... I would say 10 percent in terms of cash earnings this year, but most other companies in that field have been acquired.
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It's just a great stock to own here, ... The company is growing in excess of 20 percent. The demographics are great for education. The company is selling at about 15 times what we think they can earn next year. It's also one of the few independent publishers left and so we think it's a strategic acquisition candidate, probably worth over $60 a share, and the stock's at about $45.
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The vulnerability is in individual stocks rather than in the market, ... Any company that misses its earnings is going to get brutally punished. The market has very low tolerance for companies that miss their earnings, and it goes back to the fact that everybody's paid on performance and it's difficult for people to have a long-term view.
candidate company dominant earn everybody growing low next run selling theme
They got pounded, ... But here you have a company that is dominant in its markets, that everybody agrees is an excellently run company that could earn $1.75 (per share) next year, so it's selling at about 11-times earnings. And it's an acquisition candidate down the road. So you see the theme here is growing earnings, low valuation.
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You're looking for a growth company in a growth industry with good management and a good balance sheet,
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But throw in a very visible company lowering its guidance going forward and the focus shifts back to the same problems of an uncertain economy, uncertain earnings and the Middle East problem, which has not changed,
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The company has already talked about selling its credit card business. If that happens, it could give a real pop to the stock,
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This is a low-cost way to play the eventual turnaround in technology, ... They're a very strong distributor of hardware and software products and it's gaining market share on its competitors. The stock is $25 on $2.35 of earnings and you're not taking product risk -- you're 11 times earnings on Tech Data for the company that's got a 20 percent long-term growth rate.
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When all is said and done, third-quarter earnings will probably be good and fourth-quarter forecasts good enough to cool some of the worries about inflationary pressures hurting corporate profits,
continued earnings economic higher market move reports sprint toward
When all is said and done, I think the market will sprint higher toward the end of the year. But it's going to take continued encouraging earnings and economic reports to move it along.
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What's gonna happen here is you're going to see a cat and mouse game between Bush and Iraq for some time. I suspect that a month from now we'll be back to where we were yesterday before the letter came out.
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The stock is cheap, not well followed, and I think it's undervalued, ... The stock currently trades at about $21, and I think it will earn about $2.60 a share for the year.
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The risk is we are staring down the barrel of negative pre-announcements, so the market has the potential to be disappointed short term.