James Awad
James Awad
brutally companies company difficult earnings fact goes individual low market misses paid people performance rather stocks tolerance
The vulnerability is in individual stocks rather than in the market, ... Any company that misses its earnings is going to get brutally punished. The market has very low tolerance for companies that miss their earnings, and it goes back to the fact that everybody's paid on performance and it's difficult for people to have a long-term view.
attractive bit buying care current early fair financial fork levels market month north percent period rising risk selling stock stocks value yield
North Fork Bancorp stock is selling at about 20. We think its fair value would be about 30. But meanwhile, you're getting a 3 percent dividend yield and it's selling at 10 times earnings. Demographically, it's a very attractive area. So, your risk in buying North Fork is that you're a little bit early and the market doesn't care about value stocks for a while. And of course, in a period of rising rates, financial stocks don't do particularly well. But, ... if you buy it and put it away, you'll end up making 50 percent from current levels over a 12 to 18 month period.
bringing due momentum stocks technology
The momentum will change. Technology stocks are due for a correction, without bringing down the market.
bulls cheap expensive generally given high historic individual interest key low stocks
Price-to-earnings ratios are high by historic standards, but the bulls would say that, given low interest rates, they're not too expensive. I think they're generally not convincingly cheap or expensive -- the key is to find individual stocks that are cheap.
buy money percent stocks
If you are only getting (for example) 1 percent in the money market, why wouldn't you buy stocks instead?
bear break bull
It's not going to make or break a bull or a bear market, but it's a negative.
best earnings interest low market poised rates stock time
The best time in the stock market is when interest rates are low and earnings are poised to grow.
bias southeast time year
The bias at this time of year should be up and, if it's not, it will be because of Southeast Asia.
concluded economy exception good investors katrina reasonably shape stock storms
Stock investors have concluded that the economy was in good shape before Hurricane's Katrina and Rita, and that it has come through the storms in reasonably good shape, with the exception of oil,
best fabulous january march marked market news rest roll run since sort time until visibility year
The best news is cresting right now, ... so it very well may be that we had a fabulous run in the market from March 2003 to January 2004, we've sort of marked time since then, and we'll roll over for the rest of the year until we get better visibility on 2005.
basic caused certainly couple earnings factors market maybe next remain until worries
The basic factors that caused the market to go down remain in place, and I think those worries are going to be with us for the next couple of months, ... certainly until we get third-quarter earnings reports, and maybe through the election.
earnings far period
On balance, the earnings period so far has been very reasonable, even better than expected.
anybody bottom carefully cut expecting fed improving listen looking maybe news officials rate recovery saying signs soon talking tape watch yesterday
The Fed officials are talking very optimistically. Uniformly they were out there, on the tape yesterday and in interviews, saying that they are expecting a second-half recovery and looking for signs of a bottom sometime, very soon in the economy. So, you are going to have to watch the news very carefully going forward. I don't think anybody really knows. But if you listen to the Fed, you have maybe one more rate cut and then an improving economy.
cool corporate earnings forecasts good hurting pressures worries
When all is said and done, third-quarter earnings will probably be good and fourth-quarter forecasts good enough to cool some of the worries about inflationary pressures hurting corporate profits,