Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson OBEis a British author and expert on wine. He is considered the world's best-selling wine writer. His 1961 tasting of a bottle of 1540 Steinwein from the German vineyard Würzburger Stein is considered to potentially be one of the oldest wines to have ever been tasted...
ProfessionNon-Fiction Author
Date of Birth10 March 1939
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Long term interest rates are higher now than they were in the second and third quarters, and debt levels are higher too. Yes, consumer spending will continue to expand, but it will be slower.
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The consumer price index rise was very modest. It suggests, that inflation is in the process of moderating.
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The consumer price index rise was very modest. It suggests, as I think many of us have been forecasting, that inflation is in the process of moderating. The good news is investors can feel somewhat more comfortable about monetary policy.
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The consumer price index rise was very modest.
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It seems so tied to the price of oil, that it's very hard to forecast what stocks will do next. On balance the message of the markets for the last nine trading sessions, including today, seems to have shifted to say that the price of oil is taking a chunk out of consumer spending.
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When it appears as though the governors of the Federal Reserve believe that the end of the rate increases is near, that's very good news for investors. A lack of ambiguity from the Federal Reserve is always a little bit of a shocker.
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What we're seeing from Lehman is that market conditions improved through the summer, and that conditions are likely to continue improving. That's showing up in the earnings and in the detail of their reports.
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We're moving beyond that -- the market's almost immune to the scandals now.
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We're forever in search of the Holy Grail of investing and that's some formula to give us the answer, ... That's the whole problem. These things work - until you try to use them.
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When you say the stock market is overvalued, you imply that the stock market is going down. But there is a touch of lunacy in every bull market -- stocks can become even more overvalued. A rational investment policy in an irrational world is suicide.
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ultimately extremely good news for the health of the market.
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There are big risks when you get leveraged,
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Would I bottom fish in these industry groups? Emphatically no, ... I see no reason to believe these problems will be solved anytime soon.
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We did have a little rain last Friday and Saturday, but this is the biggest rainfall we've had in months.