Henry Blodget
Henry Blodget
Henry Blodgetis an American businessman, investor, journalist, and author...
advertising america appears approach believe benefit companies consumer continue fall improving internet leading sector sentiment stocks strong winter
The sentiment surrounding the leading companies in the consumer Internet sector appears to be improving as we approach the seasonally strong fall and winter period. We continue to believe that some of the leading consumer advertising and e-commerce stocks -- America Online, Yahoo, and Amazon.com -- will benefit from this.
believe company expect goal guidance hits low miss operating range stock withdraw
We also believe that some analysts are projecting that the company will miss the low end of the guidance range in Q3 and withdraw its goal of operating profitability in Q4. As a result, if the company hits the mid-point of the guidance range and reaffirms Q4 operating profitability, we would expect the stock to go up.
appeals believe company court existing given poor positive possible ruling sentiment time
We also believe such controversy, if any, would come at a poor time for Microsoft, given that the company is awaiting the Appeals Court ruling on the existing antitrust trial. As a result, we believe it is possible that this could put a damper on the positive sentiment surrounding the stock.
anytime believe continue few industry internet investor respect spoils
As the shakeout continues, we continue to believe that the Internet spoils will go to the few, not the many. As one investor we respect put it, anytime a new industry emerges, many turtles hatch, few make it to the sea.
believe current fact future near prediction prices relative stock stocks stronger timing
The timing of this reset relative to the current stock prices is, again, not a prediction of future weakness. In fact we believe that many of the stronger stocks may be near seasonal bottoms.
achieve amazon analysis believe book eight estimate fourth holiday million product quarter revenue solid week
Our estimate for fourth quarter product revenue is approximately $1 billion. To achieve our estimate, we believe Amazon has to book about $750 million in the eight week holiday season. Our back-of-the-envelope analysis of the Delight-O-Meter suggests it is off to a solid start.
aol approval believe europe expect final future gaining impact stages time
We believe AOL and Time Warner are in the final stages of gaining approval from U.S. and Europe regulatory commissions. We do expect any concessions that would materially impact future performance.
advertising appears believe continue market online remain
The online advertising market appears to be stabilizing, but we believe it will continue to remain challenging for the foreseeable future.
adding advertising believe cautious continue money online percent quarter remain second stocks therefore toughest until
We would therefore remain cautious about adding new money to online advertising-driven stocks until the first or second quarter, when we should have better visibility. We continue to believe that the first quarter will be the toughest quarter, with only 10 percent year-over-year growth.
add believe comments cycle demand early emerging european pc prospects rebound view weakness weight
We believe the comments on PC demand add weight to the view that the PC cycle may have bottomed. However, we believe it is still too early to 'call the bottom' -- especially if emerging weakness in European IT demand dampens prospects for a PC rebound there.
believe factors likely maintain outweigh windows
We still believe that, over the intermediate term, these factors will likely outweigh controversy surrounding Windows XP, so we maintain our 'accumulate' rating.
believe calls companies create creating disney entity few given global integrated internet investment likely looking media number powerful received similarly strong whether within yahoo
We have received a number of calls on whether a combination of Yahoo and Disney would make sense. We believe an investment would be much more likely. Given that AOL-Time Warner is likely to be a real entity within a few weeks, creating a very strong global integrated media and Internet competitor, we believe other media companies will be looking to create similarly powerful internet strategies.
believe companies customers gain online retailing running sector spend
We believe there could be a shakeout in the B2C (business-to-consumer) online retailing sector as companies that have had to spend aggressively to gain new customers will be running out of money.
accurately airline appears believe business compelling continues dependent forecast limited management model ticket visibility
While we still believe the model is compelling long term, the business continues to be heavily dependent on airline ticket sales. As a result, it appears management has limited visibility to accurately forecast the business.