David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg, born in 1965, is a French art curator and author, specialized in modern and contemporary art...
ProfessionMusical.ly Star
Date of Birth19 April 1997
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Bizarre is not a strong enough word. We've never seen productivity growth this strong headed into the fifth year of a business expansion.
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The Fed seems intent on raising rates through this Katrina business on the view that the pending rebuild stimulus will trump the near-term economic loss.
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The Fed may remove 'measured' or 'accommodative' from the policy statement.
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The consensus was too exuberant coming into this quarter -- and probably is too exuberant for the balance of the year, as far as I can see.
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The continuing story is relentless global competitive pressures and widespread excess capacity.
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I'm not seeing any sort of big broadening out of inflation from the energy side. That's probably the overriding story.
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That's a horse with a track record that we would rather not go against.
bets great risk
That's a significant statement. We are hedging our bets and don't see a great risk in doing it.
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Energy and raw material demand in China has been one of the key drivers behind the strength in commodities. If China is raising rates and trying to slow growth, then we may see some tempering in those pressures.
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Fed action is not a fait accompli -- weakness might have to extend through the second half to lead to a Fed cut.
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As the economy continues to slow and inflation remains benign we expect the Fed will be in easing mode by the second half.
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Corporate America is just a productivity machine. Non-farm businesses were able to boost their output at a 3.5 percent annual rate and cut payroll hours at an over 2 percent rate. So 40 percent of the productivity increase came from the backside of the workforce.
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Washington pundits expect such a bill to include the repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act, which could lead to a wave of mergers in the utility sector.
labor leaves seeing several tea telling
There's nothing in the tea leaves telling us we'll be seeing much labor-market buoyancy for several months.