Barry Ritholtz
Barry Ritholtz
Barry Ritholtz is an American author, newspaper columnist, blogger, equities analyst, CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, and guest commentator on Bloomberg Television. He is also a former contributor to CNBC and TheStreet.com...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionAuthor
CountryUnited States of America
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You had enough of a sell-off in October that you created an oversold condition. We can rally to mid-December. We might back and fill for a week or two, but the rally will support a possible 10 percent move on the Nasdaq; the S&P can get up to 1,280, while the Dow maybe gets up another 500 to 1,000 points.
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TV producers want ratings and are willing to do nearly anything to get them. They gin up artificial conflicts and create an urgency for even the most minor of economic data points.
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We've been up for so long since May, two or three weeks of weakness is not a big deal. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw the doldrums of August lead to a nervous September, and that's how we create good buying opportunities.
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Anyone can make an article longer; the skill is keeping it tight and lean.
When it comes to investing, there is no such thing as a one-size-fits-all portfolio.
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Whenever you try to pick market tops and bottoms, you are making a prediction. Guessing what stock is going to outperform the market is forecasting, as is selling a stock for no apparent reason. Indeed, nearly all capital decisions made by most people are unconscious predictions.
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Commissions add up, taxes are a big drag, margin ain't cheap. A good accountant costs money as well. The math on this one is obvious, yet investors often fail to recognize it: Keep your costs low and your turnover lower, and you will win in the end.
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Whenever I see a forecast written out to two decimal places, I cannot help but wonder if there is a misunderstanding of the limitations of the data, and an illusion of precision.
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The ability to select stocks, manage them over time and know when to sell them is incredibly difficult, even for professional fund managers.
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In social media, people cannot build big followings organically unless what they are putting out to the world has value.
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The way we finance homes in this country is slow, filled with middlemen, who run a nonstandardized evaluation process. This makes financing a home cumbersome and difficult.
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The electronics industry expanded rapidly and the seeds for the semiconductor and software revolution were planted. The postwar period also saw the suburbanization of America, the rise of the homeowner, the build-out of the interstate highway system, and the rise of automobile culture. Credit availability expanded dramatically.
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Asset managers have different approaches, and I don't wish to suggest there is only one way to run money. There are many ways one can attempt to reduce risk, improve performance, lower drawdowns and reduce volatility.
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No one knows what the top-performing asset class will be next year. Lacking this prescience, your next-best solution is to own all of the classes and rebalance regularly.