Barclays Capital
Barclays Capital
Barclays Investment Bankis the investment banking division of the British multinational Barclays bank headquartered in London. It provides advisory, financing and risk management services to large companies, institutions and government clients. It is a primary dealer in U.S. Treasury securities and various European Government bonds...
above balance cannot commodity dominating further gains gold high inventory market momentum oil prices ruled strong terms
While we think such high prices are not justifiable by gold 's commodity fundamentals in terms of market balance and inventory levels, the combination of a surge in oil prices above $70/barrel, geopolitical tensions and strong momentum is dominating at present, and further gains cannot be ruled out.
balances below current demand estimates fallen further gasoline indicate market oil relative remains year
U.S. gasoline inventories have fallen further below their five-year average, while U.S. oil demand remains strong. Our estimates of current market balances indicate a significant tightening relative to a year ago.
correction despite further markets physical prices relatively steady suggest support threat worth
It is worth noting that prices are getting little support from the physical markets despite relatively steady prices of late, which suggest that threat of further correction remains.
asian bank central continuing economic fears fund further hopes interest justified large remains room upside
There remains room for further upside this year, with fund interest continuing to be justified on...inflationary concerns, fears of economic slowdown, hopes of large Asian central bank buying.
apparent further given interest lack overall positive room sentiment short
Given the overall positive sentiment and an apparent lack of interest to short the marker aggressively, we see further room on the upside.
atlantic disputes edge further operating serve system
In all, the disputes serve as further notice, if needed, that the Atlantic refining system is operating on the edge at the moment.
broader charts closely correction further market near phase signs subject technical term towards trend weakness
The market could be subject to further weakness in the near term towards $535. The technical charts will be closely monitored in this correction phase for any signs of a broader trend reversal.
capacity crude lacks oil refine short spare
Crude oil was the one thing not in short supply. What the U.S. lacks is oil products, especially gasoline, and it lacks the spare capacity to refine more crude.
break continue likely looks potential prices though trade upside
Range-bound trade looks likely to continue for some time, though we see potential for prices to break on the upside after this consolidation phase.
appears bullish continue downside limited near prices range remains sentiment though underlying wide
Prices should continue to consolidate in the wide range of $535-$555 in the near term, though the underlying sentiment remains bullish and downside appears limited at present.
beyond context global grind inclined interest numbers respond suffering weekly
Some (traders) are suffering risk-fatigue and are not inclined to respond to anything much beyond the grind of the weekly U.S. numbers and have little interest in the geopolitical context or the global context of the data.
begin data early later product situation sooner supply though weekly
Sooner or later the seriousness of the situation for U.S. product supply will begin to show in the weekly U.S. data releases, though it may still be too early for that today.
demand miss price remain supply
Don't miss the boat, again. Supply and demand fundamentals remain constructive for the price up-trends to persist.
apparent believe chinese crude demand figures imports october oil period rise signals stronger
We believe the rise in Chinese crude oil imports in October signals a period of stronger Chinese apparent demand figures over Q4 2005 and Q1 2006.