Barclays Capital
Barclays Capital
Barclays Investment Bankis the investment banking division of the British multinational Barclays bank headquartered in London. It provides advisory, financing and risk management services to large companies, institutions and government clients. It is a primary dealer in U.S. Treasury securities and various European Government bonds...
apparent believe chinese crude demand figures imports october oil period rise signals stronger
We believe the rise in Chinese crude oil imports in October signals a period of stronger Chinese apparent demand figures over Q4 2005 and Q1 2006.
above balance cannot commodity dominating further gains gold high inventory market momentum oil prices ruled strong terms
While we think such high prices are not justifiable by gold 's commodity fundamentals in terms of market balance and inventory levels, the combination of a surge in oil prices above $70/barrel, geopolitical tensions and strong momentum is dominating at present, and further gains cannot be ruled out.
chile copper demand disruption environment given lack last lend prices production rarely shipments spare strikes strong support tend
While strikes in Chile rarely tend to last for very long, any disruption to production or shipments will lend support to copper prices given the strong demand environment and lack of spare material.
economy encourage market optimistic outcome pivotal prior strong today view
U.S. payrolls are much more pivotal today than in prior months. A strong outcome would encourage the market in its increasingly optimistic view of the US economy and hawkish view of the Fed.
across among continues enthusiasm founded general interest market strong
This market continues to look very strong ... Enthusiasm among speculators is founded on its constructive fundamentals and general interest across commodities.
believe commodity data demand few growth looks past pickup risk sharp short strong
After the very strong pickup in U.S. growth data over the past few weeks, we believe the risk of a sharp slowdown in commodity demand looks negligible in the short term.
believe commodity data demand few growth looks past risk sharp short strong
After the very strong pick-up in U.S. growth data over the past few weeks, we believe the risk of a sharp slowdown in commodity demand looks negligible in the short term.
allied commodity continue continued desire equity fixed growing income investors likely performance strong strongly
The continued strong performance of commodity investments, allied to the desire of many institutional investors to diversify their equity and fixed income exposures, suggests that commodity investments are likely to continue growing strongly in 2006.
capacity crude lacks oil refine short spare
Crude oil was the one thing not in short supply. What the U.S. lacks is oil products, especially gasoline, and it lacks the spare capacity to refine more crude.
break continue likely looks potential prices though trade upside
Range-bound trade looks likely to continue for some time, though we see potential for prices to break on the upside after this consolidation phase.
appears bullish continue downside limited near prices range remains sentiment though underlying wide
Prices should continue to consolidate in the wide range of $535-$555 in the near term, though the underlying sentiment remains bullish and downside appears limited at present.
beyond context global grind inclined interest numbers respond suffering weekly
Some (traders) are suffering risk-fatigue and are not inclined to respond to anything much beyond the grind of the weekly U.S. numbers and have little interest in the geopolitical context or the global context of the data.
begin data early later product situation sooner supply though weekly
Sooner or later the seriousness of the situation for U.S. product supply will begin to show in the weekly U.S. data releases, though it may still be too early for that today.
demand miss price remain supply
Don't miss the boat, again. Supply and demand fundamentals remain constructive for the price up-trends to persist.