Barclays Capital
Barclays Capital
Barclays Investment Bankis the investment banking division of the British multinational Barclays bank headquartered in London. It provides advisory, financing and risk management services to large companies, institutions and government clients. It is a primary dealer in U.S. Treasury securities and various European Government bonds...
beyond context global grind inclined interest numbers respond suffering weekly
Some (traders) are suffering risk-fatigue and are not inclined to respond to anything much beyond the grind of the weekly U.S. numbers and have little interest in the geopolitical context or the global context of the data.
begin data early later product situation sooner supply though weekly
Sooner or later the seriousness of the situation for U.S. product supply will begin to show in the weekly U.S. data releases, though it may still be too early for that today.
break continue likely looks potential prices though trade upside
Range-bound trade looks likely to continue for some time, though we see potential for prices to break on the upside after this consolidation phase.
appears bullish continue downside limited near prices range remains sentiment though underlying wide
Prices should continue to consolidate in the wide range of $535-$555 in the near term, though the underlying sentiment remains bullish and downside appears limited at present.
concerns expect inflation investor light near oil positive rally recent rising sentiment supported supportive
Much of gold's recent rally has been supported by positive investor sentiment in light of rising oil prices, inflation concerns and geopolitical volatility, and we do not expect these supportive macro-factors to dissipate in the near term.
absent appetite asia continued credit fund likely loan market stability strength support synthetic
Absent new developments in credit, the continued synthetic demand, the hedge fund bid, strength in the leveraged loan market, stability in U.S. Treasuries, and credit appetite from Asia will likely continue to support the market overall.
asian bank central continuing economic fears fund further hopes interest justified large remains room upside
There remains room for further upside this year, with fund interest continuing to be justified on...inflationary concerns, fears of economic slowdown, hopes of large Asian central bank buying.
correction despite further markets physical prices relatively steady suggest support threat worth
It is worth noting that prices are getting little support from the physical markets despite relatively steady prices of late, which suggest that threat of further correction remains.
actual component contains crude directly gap impact large oil release reserves strategic supply
The release of strategic reserves contains a very large component of unneeded crude oil and does little to directly impact on the actual supply gap of U.S. oil products.
across among continues enthusiasm founded general interest market strong
This market continues to look very strong ... Enthusiasm among speculators is founded on its constructive fundamentals and general interest across commodities.
benchmark bonds buy create few objective operation seems smaller time
The objective of the operation seems to be to create a few large-sized benchmark bonds and over time buy back the smaller issues.
dispute higher leaves open prices risk short solution
The possibility for a non-benign solution to the dispute leaves open the risk for higher prices in the short term.
economy encourage market optimistic outcome pivotal prior strong today view
U.S. payrolls are much more pivotal today than in prior months. A strong outcome would encourage the market in its increasingly optimistic view of the US economy and hawkish view of the Fed.
cautionary clear conflict high length major microscope move side
Under the microscope it is clear that an important watershed is approaching. The short-term downtrend is about to come into conflict with the medium-term uptrend. Typically we would side with the longer-term move but the length of the downtrend from the high is a major cautionary note.