Art Hogan
Art Hogan
continue fed month pass slowing trend until wait
If we continue to see the trend slowing and we get better (economic) numbers, I think the Fed can take a pass at the end of the month and wait until August.
action data economic guess last momentum month positive stream strength week
My guess is we're going to have some positive action after last week's selling. We're in the last week of the month and the last week of a quarter, so there's some momentum there. If the stream of economic data is as positive as it's been, we're going to see some strength from that.
certainly confident hear helps months
It certainly doesn't hurt, ... It always helps to hear her say that she's still confident but it's 12 months out.
ahead economic four market months move tried
Historically, the market has tried to move four months ahead of an economic recovery.
aggressive came economic economy fed global longer months nine rate six starts swing
Historically, six to nine months after rate cuts, the economy stabilizes and starts to swing in the other direction, ... But a lot of things are different this time. The Fed came off an aggressive tightening mode, and there's a global economic slowdown. It's just going to take a while longer this time.
fed mean month pause rate
He's been very clear. The Fed may take a pause for a month or two, but that doesn't mean it's the end of the rate hikes.
came dealing month negatives selling three worries
We came into the day, week, month with the same three worries -- earnings, the economy, and geopolitical concerns. We're still dealing with all the same negatives and the selling is pretty broad.
afternoon found low months rhetoric suggesting thursday weekend weeks
We'll probably get some rhetoric over the weekend suggesting we've found the bottom, ... I think weeks or months from now we'll look back and say (last) Thursday afternoon was the low point.
concern fed higher leave meeting rates remains rhetoric thinking
I'm thinking the Fed will leave the rates unchanged, ... We've ramped up pretty higher into this meeting and my concern is the psychological letdown if the rhetoric remains strong.
biggest consumer dollar earnings effects fear ill strong versus warn weak
The biggest fear is earnings going forward, ... All the consumer non-durable multinationals are going to have to warn about the ill effects of the strong dollar versus the weak euro, but that's cyclical.
early good market seeing wall
Not to be heartless, but this is very good for Wall Street, ... And I think that is why we are seeing this market take off in the early going.
america bad corporate knew letting news numbers stuff technology
The bad news is stuff that we know about -- it's Corporate America, especially on the technology front, letting us know they're not going to make their numbers and we knew that was going to happen,
gives trading
That gives us a lot of trading time, unfortunately.
confidence consumers continue created high interest lower money rates remain retail spending stayed stores
The retail stores are doing well. Consumers remain confident, continue to be out there spending their money, ... A lot of money was created with lower interest rates and refinancing -- things of that nature. So, consumer confidence has stayed very high and retail stores, that have actually done it right, have been doing pretty well.