Art Hogan
Art Hogan
concern fed higher leave meeting rates remains rhetoric thinking
I'm thinking the Fed will leave the rates unchanged, ... We've ramped up pretty higher into this meeting and my concern is the psychological letdown if the rhetoric remains strong.
economic fed meeting news next path resistance
We've got a lot of economic news between now and the next Fed meeting in May. The path of least resistance is higher, but there's a bumpy road.
meeting rhetoric
The rhetoric from the meeting will be the most important catalyst,
ahead change couple last meetings seen stop time
It's the first time we've seen a change of verbiage in the last 10 meetings or so, ... We're now a couple of meetings ahead of when they'll stop tightening.
action either fed guess higher meeting remain start tuesday until venture volumes
But if I had to venture a guess I think we'll start trending higher up until the Fed meeting on Tuesday and then really take off. Unfortunately, the volumes remain anemic here so there's not a whole lot of action going on either way.
bet meeting since waiting
Why would you make a big bet before a meeting you've been waiting for since the end of June?
biggest consumer dollar earnings effects fear ill strong versus warn weak
The biggest fear is earnings going forward, ... All the consumer non-durable multinationals are going to have to warn about the ill effects of the strong dollar versus the weak euro, but that's cyclical.
early good market seeing wall
Not to be heartless, but this is very good for Wall Street, ... And I think that is why we are seeing this market take off in the early going.
america bad corporate knew letting news numbers stuff technology
The bad news is stuff that we know about -- it's Corporate America, especially on the technology front, letting us know they're not going to make their numbers and we knew that was going to happen,
gives trading
That gives us a lot of trading time, unfortunately.
confidence consumers continue created high interest lower money rates remain retail spending stayed stores
The retail stores are doing well. Consumers remain confident, continue to be out there spending their money, ... A lot of money was created with lower interest rates and refinancing -- things of that nature. So, consumer confidence has stayed very high and retail stores, that have actually done it right, have been doing pretty well.
Once again, it's not what you do, it's what you say,
add buy close decide delete fund happening run russell
Once a year, they (the Russell) decide to add and delete stocks. So what's happening is at the close today, those who run a Russell Fund will need to buy all of the Russell additions and sell all of the Russell deletes,
bets major people until waiting walking whatever
It's not a major deal, ... Whatever bets have been made most of the day (dried up) ? people are just walking away and waiting until tomorrow.