Art Hogan
Art Hogan
adverse celebrated economy effect fact less party rhetoric slower stern today yesterday
We celebrated the fact that (the Fed) was much less stern on their rhetoric yesterday (Wednesday), but today the party is over and a slower economy may have an adverse effect on earnings,
belief confirmed driven ending ends fact fed held hikes market nice onto prices rate sooner start stock
This was a nice way to start off the new year. A lot of this was driven by the fact that the Fed confirmed that end is in sight. We've held onto the belief that when the Fed ends that stock prices will go up. We'll still have rate hikes but the market is celebrating that we'll see an ending sooner than later.
fact fed move speaks starting
We are starting to see (economic) stabilization and, I think the fact that the Fed didn't make a move speaks to that.
behind corporate crushed earnings economy emergency fact fed fight funds global level market rate roll sooner trend
We have to get used to the fact that the emergency level of the fed funds rate is behind us, ... The sooner we become cognizant of the fact that the global economy won't be crushed and corporate earnings won't roll over, the sooner the market will fight its way to trend higher.
came data economic factory fixed focus market orders position positive today tomorrow
Today we had some positive economic data and we came into the market oversold, ... I don't think we've fixed the oversold position -- I think we're still cheap. Tomorrow there will be some focus on factory orders and Cisco earnings.
economic factors falling negative news oil positive war
There's been this tug of war all day between factors like falling oil prices, more negative than positive economic news and everything going on at GM,
awful bombing earnings fact investors juncture market moving reports seems sidelines sort starting
I think the fact that we had this awful bombing ... and yet the market seems to be moving on, that it's starting to become sort of priced into the marketplace. We may get investors to get back in off the sidelines at some juncture as we start to get earnings reports for the quarter.
basis cares consensus credible equity estimate fact fed five last march ourselves percentage points six talked trading tumultuous
I think 50 basis points (one-half percentage point) is a credible consensus estimate for what the Fed does (at its March 20 meeting). Unfortunately, over the last five or six tumultuous trading days, we've talked ourselves into the fact that the Fed cares about equity valuations, but that's not the case.
certainly expected happen last points thousand
We expected it to happen by the end of the year, certainly not in the first quarter. The last thousand points have really been at breakneck speed.
calling focus forward great growth intensive looking news people period question revenue robust week
We're going through a very news intensive period this week and the focus of all of that is slowdown of revenue growth going forward, but we're probably overreacting, ... We get great numbers, but looking forward we don't have the robust growth -- so people are calling into question valuations.
consensus helps overall quarter season second upbeat
The season started upbeat and that was terrific. That helps the overall consensus that the second quarter (reports) will be rosier.
ahead calendar earnings fourth good lining looking major market people quarter range second third upsets
The second quarter is lining up to be another good quarter but people are looking ahead to the third and fourth quarters. Barring any major upsets on the earnings calendar I'd say the market is pretty range bound.
clinical dangerous goes investment issue negative sector showing trial
The whole issue goes a long way in showing how dangerous an investment the sector is, ... You can have one regulatory setback, one clinical trial or negative development for a drug, and you see this kind of impact.
beginning ideas
The winnowing down of ideas is beginning to happen.