Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
both driven due expected figures gains higher inflation large oil percent thursday
There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.
businesses failed harmful higher industries money small taxed
The money channeled from failed industries to small businesses would be taxed at higher rates, and that would be harmful to the economy,
additional causing create drop economy fed further higher hold interest pose raising rates remains risk stimulus vigor
The Fed will look at a cross-section of data, which still show that enough vigor in the economy remains to pose a risk for higher inflation, ... If the Fed were to hold off on raising rates on Tuesday, they would create additional stimulus for the economy by causing a further drop in other interest rates.
context higher last released
In the context of the PPI released last week, which was much higher than expected, the CPI is a big relief,
borrow capital companies condition corporate economy higher income less meaning past profits rarely seen sensitive spending year
The economy is less interest-rate sensitive than it was a year ago because of income growth, and we have corporate profits higher than capital spending -- a condition only seen rarely in the past 40 years -- meaning companies don't need to borrow as much,
depends loses maybe neighbor
What's the expression? 'If your neighbor loses his job, it's a recession, but if you lose your job, it's a depression?' Maybe it depends on who's making the definition.
consumer mistake
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
consumer mistake mistakes
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now, ... It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
ended raised
It was very well subscribed -- and that was why they raised it and it ended up being $4.8 billion.
beginning bond calling since toward year yield
I've been calling for the bond yield since the beginning of the year to get toward 6 percent,
aversion beaten markets risk smaller touch
The risk aversion was a touch smaller today, but it was more of a toe-step into the markets that were beaten up badly.
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.
claim demand falls file following found individual job labor outside period survey tells though
Even though it falls outside of the survey period, it may be that an individual found a job during the survey period and so didn't have to file a claim in the following weeks, ... It tells a story about labor demand and suggests that has improved.