Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
believe change conditions confident employment expansion gains greenspan interest jobs report seen
We haven't seen big gains in jobs yet, so Greenspan can't be completely confident this expansion will be self-reinforcing, ... But I believe a blowout employment report is on the near-term horizon, and that will set the conditions for a change in interest rates.
both driven due expected figures gains higher inflation large oil percent thursday
There are inflation figures due out Thursday and Friday. The CPI and the PPI both are expected at 0.5 percent (increase), which is a very large gain, but both of those gains are expected to be driven by higher oil prices.
adopt aggressive concern employment fed gains historical interest late modest numbers remain seen stance today
The numbers today allay any concern that the Fed may adopt a more aggressive stance on interest rates. The employment gains we've seen of late remain modest by historical standards.
depends loses maybe neighbor
What's the expression? 'If your neighbor loses his job, it's a recession, but if you lose your job, it's a depression?' Maybe it depends on who's making the definition.
consumer mistake
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
consumer mistake mistakes
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now, ... It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
ended raised
It was very well subscribed -- and that was why they raised it and it ended up being $4.8 billion.
beginning bond calling since toward year yield
I've been calling for the bond yield since the beginning of the year to get toward 6 percent,
aversion beaten markets risk smaller touch
The risk aversion was a touch smaller today, but it was more of a toe-step into the markets that were beaten up badly.
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.
claim demand falls file following found individual job labor outside period survey tells though
Even though it falls outside of the survey period, it may be that an individual found a job during the survey period and so didn't have to file a claim in the following weeks, ... It tells a story about labor demand and suggests that has improved.
brazil early rescue talk
Rubin said that it is too early to talk about a Brazil rescue plan,
bit concerned corporate decline deeper equity nervous spread widening
Corporate treasurers are getting a bit nervous about the equity market, ... They are probably concerned about some spread widening that could come with a deeper decline inequities.