Anthony Crescenzi
Anthony Crescenzi
basis bottom dollar good line rally stable
Fundamentally there is not a good basis for the yen to rally today. But the bottom line is the dollar is more stable than we would have thought Friday.
businesses dynamic economic good nature rapidly showing
Businesses have responded rapidly to the economic climate, showing the dynamic nature of the U.S. economy, and it's very good for the long-term outlook.
boom cars creation effects expect good held indication items job majority payroll pick report slowing spending tax
The refinancing boom and effects from the tax rebates are waning, so spending on big-ticket items such as cars may be slowing down, ... But spending on services, which is where the majority of the job creation occurs, has held on, and we expect it to pick up. Friday's payroll report should be a good indication of that.
good markets panic
This is not a good way to intervene, to tell the markets ... What you want them to do is panic their way out of their positions.
cause chinese credible equity fear good inflation social
The Chinese devaluation would be devastating to the equity markets, and it would be good for bonds, ... But that is not a credible fear right now. The inflation that would come from devaluation would cause social instability.
confidence durable effect figure gets goods main orders rate street unlike
The jobless rate gets a lot of play on Main Street -- it's a figure that Main Street completely understands, unlike durable goods orders and things like that, ... It can have a big psychological effect on confidence and spending.
depends loses maybe neighbor
What's the expression? 'If your neighbor loses his job, it's a recession, but if you lose your job, it's a depression?' Maybe it depends on who's making the definition.
consumer mistake
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now. It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
consumer mistake mistakes
It would be a mistake to get bearish on the consumer now, ... It's been a mistake to be bearish on the consumer for many years.
ended raised
It was very well subscribed -- and that was why they raised it and it ended up being $4.8 billion.
beginning bond calling since toward year yield
I've been calling for the bond yield since the beginning of the year to get toward 6 percent,
aversion beaten markets risk smaller touch
The risk aversion was a touch smaller today, but it was more of a toe-step into the markets that were beaten up badly.
difficult fed funds further higher lower market somewhat step trade
Right now we have to take a step back and say how much further can we go with this news. Where fed funds are now, at 6.5 percent, makes it somewhat difficult for the (bond) market to trade higher or lower in yield.
attention economy economy-and-economics fed inflation pay point slowing
Even if the economy slows, there will still be inflation, ... But there comes a point when the Fed won't pay attention to inflation because of a slowing economy.