William Gray
William Gray
American attorney who served as a federal judge. He was appointed to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California in 1966.
ProfessionLawyer
Date of Birth26 March 1912
current moves ocean tends
This ocean circulation, a northbound current that sinks and then moves southbound, tends to go through multi-decadal changes,
atlantic brought changes four global led major number ocean past pattern similar storms turn
This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s.
act applied assumption atmosphere believed fail future indeed memory ocean period several
We have always believed that the atmosphere will act in the future as it has in the past. This assumption can fail in some years but when applied over a period of several years we find that the atmosphere and ocean does indeed have a long period memory in most years.
activity cold warm
In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,
globe highest jump peak proven rest storms tropical
The rest of the globe that has 88% of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.
activity appears continue hurricane numbers trend
These numbers aren't extreme, but they continue the trend in which hurricane activity appears to be on a multi-decadal upswing.
global last pick point small theory thirty verify
Small sea-surface temperature changes, there's no theory why they should make for more storms. Observations verify that. When we look back in a global point of view, in the last thirty years, there hasn't been a pick up in storms.
activity expect hurricane season time tropical witness
We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.
change patterns reaching season stop suggest weather
There is nothing to suggest the weather patterns will change to stop this season from reaching near-record status,
active
We've had a very active season, but the probability of getting landfall in consecutive years like in 2004 and 2005 is very low.
both devices
Both of these devices are promising. The kicker is long-term durability,
active activity atlantic coming continue current events expect hurricane major number period seasons seen though unlikely
Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.
august hurricane last major number since six somewhat strikes terms though three versus
Even though the U.S. has experienced six major hurricane strikes since August 2004, in terms of the number of U.S. major hurricane strikes during the last 11 years (nine of 43, versus one of three for the century-long average) we have been, from this perspective, somewhat fortunate,
allow continue forecast improve ongoing research
We feel our ongoing forecast research will allow us to continue to improve our predictive skill.