William Gray
William Gray
American attorney who served as a federal judge. He was appointed to the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of California in 1966.
ProfessionLawyer
Date of Birth26 March 1912
globe highest jump peak proven rest storms tropical
The rest of the globe that has 88% of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.
atlantic brought changes four global led major number ocean past pattern similar storms turn
This in turn has led to a number of Atlantic Ocean and global oceanic circulation changes that have brought on more major storms during the past four years. The pattern is very similar to what was occurring in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s.
past storms unlucky
In the past two years we've had two unlucky years. Globally, storms aren't getting worse, just in the Atlantic.
experience overall seen storms suggest thus
We've called for 12 storms and have seen two thus far, but in our experience that doesn't suggest anything about the overall season,
bunch caribbean heck islands last major north pass period south storms striking watching year
There have been a heck of a lot of storms in the Caribbean in the last 11 years. You've dodged a bunch of them. In any one year the probability of a major storm striking the Virgin Islands is low, but you'll at least be watching more storms pass to the north and south of you than in the down period from 1970 to 1994.
almost average coast east hit storms term twice
We actually think the probability of the East Coast being hit with storms is almost twice what the long term average is for this year.
activity cold warm
In cold years you have more activity than in warm years,
activity appears continue hurricane numbers trend
These numbers aren't extreme, but they continue the trend in which hurricane activity appears to be on a multi-decadal upswing.
global last pick point small theory thirty verify
Small sea-surface temperature changes, there's no theory why they should make for more storms. Observations verify that. When we look back in a global point of view, in the last thirty years, there hasn't been a pick up in storms.
activity expect hurricane season time tropical witness
We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.
change patterns reaching season stop suggest weather
There is nothing to suggest the weather patterns will change to stop this season from reaching near-record status,
active
We've had a very active season, but the probability of getting landfall in consecutive years like in 2004 and 2005 is very low.
both devices
Both of these devices are promising. The kicker is long-term durability,
active activity atlantic coming continue current events expect hurricane major number period seasons seen though unlikely
Even though we expect to see the current active period of Atlantic major hurricane activity to continue for another 15-20 years, it is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane season, or the seasons which follow, will have the number of major hurricane U.S. landfall events as we have seen in 2004-2005.