Vince Farrell
Vince Farrell
call decline early economy far fed great interest picture shown
I think the Fed is done hiking, but this economy has shown great resilience, so it's far too early to call for a decline in interest rates. I think the Fed's out of the picture for now.
bloom few prices question rose terrific
I think the bloom is off the rose of the very, very richly priced 'new economy' stocks. Many of these are terrific companies, many will be here a few years from now. But I question the prices that they all got to.
fully stocks ways
I think we have a ways to go on this. Stocks are fully valued.
ahead cuts generally hold move rate stocks until wait
I think we have to wait until 2002 for the Fed's rate cuts to take hold and stocks generally move ahead of the economy,
chairman concern continue cut earnings forward good greenspan grow interest rally reserve surprise
I think what really triggered the rally was the surprise cut by (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan) Greenspan in interest rates. But earnings have been good enough to continue the rally. Now the concern going forward is: Can earnings grow in 1999.
community era feeling financial optimism stocks united
I think there is an era of optimism that pervades the financial community in the United States. There's just this feeling that stocks are going to go up, and up, and up.
absurd broaden difficult ghost markets money point reached stocks tech undergoing
I think it's going to be a difficult year. We're undergoing a change. I think the markets will broaden and some tech stocks will suffer. In my opinion, they've reached a point of absurd valuation. These stocks are going to give up the ghost with money going into other stocks.
bond expect fed market might policy rally tilt towards
I think today, at worst, the Fed might tilt towards a tightening. But if they don't, if they keep policy unchanged, I would expect you would see . . . the bond market should rally significantly too.
august believe buy dull good market quiet rush sell short time
I think they should be very, very cautious. There's no rush but if you have some cash, now is the time buy selectively, ... I believe we're going to have a very quiet August but there's an old rule: Never sell short a dull market because you usually get pretty good rallies.
add auto buying company hughes minus share value
Hughes and Delphi add up to over $40 a share in value then you're buying the auto company for 80 minus the 40, or about 40 bucks.
bear bottom guess lows nervous rally seen test
Overall, my guess is this is a rally in a bear market. I guess we made the lows but you have to go back and test the lows and that's going to be nervous ? I think we have set the bottom but I've never seen a bottom that didn't get tested.
looking year
I'm very optimistic, looking out a year or two.
difficult expect ship taken task turn
This is a very difficult task they're taken on, and I don't think you can expect them to turn the ship around too quickly.
against attacked bush candidate fear fight gore healthcare himself industries managers money populist putting stocks strong telling views wall
Gore is putting himself as the populist candidate to fight against those big companies. You'd have to say Wall Street, right now, views Gore with fear and trepidation because he's attacked those industries in his campaign. What's been very strong has been healthcare so healthcare stocks are telling you Bush is going to win. Money managers are putting their money up front.