Steve Barrow
Steve Barrow
Steve Barrowis a British reggae historian, writer and producer...
care data hardly market meeting tomorrow
With the FOMC meeting tomorrow the market is hardly going to care too much for the US data today.
clear data december divert failed fed following hurricane minutes monetary policy saw weaker
The Fed has been on 'autopilot' with its monetary tightening so that even bouts of weaker data, such as we saw after hurricane Katrina, failed to divert the Fed off course. But now, following the minutes of the December meeting, it is clear that policy will become more data dependent.
buying data fed inflation opportunity saying speakers vigilant
Fed speakers are saying they are going to be vigilant on inflation and if the data suggests they haven't done enough, they will do more. It's a short-term buying opportunity for the dollar.
bit clearly data dependent dollar expect fed hence starting view volatile
But clearly any view on the Fed now is dependent on how the data comes through and hence we can expect the dollar to be a bit more volatile on data releases, starting with Friday's payrolls.
half inflation neck percentage raise rates
We feel that the ECB should take inflation by the scruff of the neck and raise rates by a half percentage point,
earlier economy far fed general good help indicator key number seen selling strength
We've seen some selling earlier this week, but a good number will show the general strength of the U.S. economy and help the dollar. Payrolls will be the key indicator as far as the Fed is concerned.
chance entry euro markets nervous next outlook pricing remote
Markets are nervous about the outlook for euro entry. The market is pricing in the possibility of a remote chance of entry into the euro in the next parliament.
chance entry euro markets nervous next outlook pricing remote
Markets are nervous about the outlook for euro entry, ... The market is pricing in the possibility of a remote chance of entry into the euro in the next parliament.
deliver euro fact hike hikes pull rate skeptical whether year
I'm still skeptical whether we will see a hike from the ECB this year. The fact the ECB won't deliver on rate hikes this year will probably pull the euro back.
against australia comment countries currency dollar offer people supportive weakness
People are clutching at straws if they think that the G20 will offer some kind of supportive comment for the euro. There are other countries at the G20 that are aggrieved at the weakness of their currency against the dollar -- Australia for one.
believe definitely market next push time year
Will the market push on for $1.05 this year and $1.10 by this time next year? We definitely believe that it will be the latter.
change convinced cut expect market
We don't expect a cut and we're not even convinced there will be a change in the Fed's bias. If the market is factoring in a cut, then it may come a cropper as a result.
against believe cents danish euro joining referendum slide
We believe the euro could slide to 85 cents and things could get a lot worse, with the Danish referendum going against joining the euro.
bank canadian currency face hike meeting next performing rate retail slightly week
The Canadian currency is still performing very well especially in the face of a slightly disappointing retail number. The Bank of Canada's meeting next week will be the focus. A rate hike next week is most likely.