Rick Sherlund
Rick Sherlund
add compete deliver given hat ibm microsoft move oracle red stack technology view
We view this favorably for Red Hat, given our view that Red Hat will need to move up the infrastructure stack and add a database, application server, portal, and integration technology to deliver an open-source infrastructure stack to compete with that of BEA , Oracle , IBM and Microsoft .
appear due earlier estimate evidence fast growing growth likely march november occurred offset pc quarter reducing revenue sluggish unit weakness
We are reducing our March quarter revenue estimate due to growing evidence that PC unit growth did not likely come up to our expectations. PC growth was very sluggish from November through February, and while it reaccelerated in March, it does not appear to have occurred fast enough to offset the weakness earlier in the quarter.
above evidence given pc quarter reduced results slowing
The results were above our estimates, which had been reduced during the quarter given evidence of slowing PC demand.
million relief sigh xbox
We thought that they would do 1.3 million units, after all the difficulties shipping, so there is a sigh of relief on the Xbox 360.
appeal believe investors issue leading possibly prominent
We believe investors will need to hunker down for a potentially long process, possibly leading through appeal into 2001, ... For now, this will be a prominent issue but may become a back-burner issue during lulls in the action.
advantage both calendar designed drive due expect features further generation half likely next office products release revenue second windows
We expect the release of Windows Vista and Office 12 to further drive revenue as both products are being designed to take advantage of collaborative features in the next generation of server products (SQL Server 2005, BizTalk Server 2006, and the 'Longhorn' or Vista Server likely due out in the second half of calendar 2007).
build stock year
As the year progresses, the stock will build its multiple.
believe below earlier encouraged flow good growth historic likely products raised relative safe shares stock valued
We are encouraged by this and have raised estimates, essentially back to earlier levels. While the stock is richly valued and the growth is still well below historic levels, we believe there is a good flow of upcoming new products and the shares are likely a relative safe harbor.
believe bit group likely oracle quarter rest results september shy software
Extrapolating from Oracle as a bellwether for the rest of the software sector, we believe the September quarter results for the group will likely come in a bit shy of estimates,
advertising estimates growth last pc potential reflect slower sluggish week
We trimmed estimates last week to reflect even more sluggish PC demand, the potential for slower server growth and slower on-line advertising for MSN,
bad likely news reflected
significant bad news may likely already be reflected in the stock.
attempts office successful twist
may be the twist that makes this more successful than other attempts to erode the (Microsoft) Office franchise.
benefit internet oracle presence provider
Oracle may benefit from its presence as an Internet infrastructure provider as its applications and databases become more Internet centric.
august compelled cost cut estimates given growth numbers oracle rates
Oracle has an August quarter, so we are more compelled to cut estimates now. Siebel is September, so we could wait, but the numbers just look too optimistic. Given cost reductions, the EPS cut for Oracle is small, but the growth rates for Siebel are much faster, so EPS reductions more significant.