Peter Greene
Peter Greene
Peter Greeneis an American character actor, generally known for playing villains. Peter lives in New York...
ProfessionMovie Actor
Date of Birth8 October 1965
CityMontclair, NJ
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What's happening today is very telling of where the market is right now. Typically, when there is negative news people tend to make 'flight-to-safety' moves into bonds and gold, but that isn't happening. That tells me that asset classes in the near term are very tired, and that we could see more of a pull back from here over the next few months.
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Today is a rotational shift into high tech and away from defensive sectors, which includes aerospace and defense.
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Lowe's was maybe a bit of a letdown this morning, and the other retailers and some of the homebuilding stocks are down. The Dow transportation average is also weak today, despite UAL's gains. There's really no new news today to push us too much in either direction. We've had a great run recently and a minor decline isn't so bad.
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It's pretty mixed today (Friday) with light volume. The warning from Honeywell is very discouraging, as is the sentiment number, but then the retail sales number was fine, so that may be giving us a little buoyancy. We're also still worrying about Iraq.
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The question is, how seriously do we take what's going on today, considering the volume, and what's going to happen next week when people come back? ... I would take today as a positive with the caveat that not many people are here.
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This is impressive, but the caveat is that this is the day after a holiday and not many people are in. You also have certain key sectors, like chips and the insurers, not participating. I think you need to see a few more days of this to determine whether today is a head fake or not.
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The economic numbers were on balance disappointing. You also have the dollar a lot weaker today because of the continued uncertainty with the international situation.
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The stock market is a discounting mechanism. Many people recently have seen their mortgages raised -- and many people have adjustable rate mortgages -- unfortunately they have been raised. Oil prices are at near highs. It impacts people's discretionary income. And I think we're seeing it in those stocks that would have a relationship to that discretionary income.
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The stock looks very attractive, and they have a potential cancer drug and a potential Alzheimer's drug,
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I see people getting more encouraged, ... We need more companies to announce things are going to get better in the third and fourth quarters -- but things are getting better.
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The rising influence of celebrities and the focus on entertaining among the Generation X set is a positive trend for the industry. There's plenty of opportunity ahead for manufacturers and retailers who recognize and leverage today's trends in entertaining.
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There's some worry that the economic growth won't be as strong as had been hoped and that's taking stocks lower, ... It's the combination of GDP not growing as fast as had been hoped, and the Dow Transports, which is a leading economic indicator, falling as well.
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There's incredible volatility at the end of a quarter and a lot of window dressing going on.
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Right now, the market is in a bit of a fog, as it's being pushed and pulled in different directions.