Peter Greene
Peter Greene
Peter Greeneis an American character actor, generally known for playing villains. Peter lives in New York...
ProfessionMovie Actor
Date of Birth8 October 1965
CityMontclair, NJ
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The sentiment is changing. Airlines are bottoming, the 10-year note yield has bottomed, making it more attractive to be in stocks, and people are feeling more comfortable,
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It was a pleasant surprise, what happened with the jobs report. People were relieved -- the change in non-farm payrolls was the standout.
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What's happening today is very telling of where the market is right now. Typically, when there is negative news people tend to make 'flight-to-safety' moves into bonds and gold, but that isn't happening. That tells me that asset classes in the near term are very tired, and that we could see more of a pull back from here over the next few months.
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War news is having a fingernail-biting impact generally. Right now, there's a sense of people not wanting to do much until the troops get to Baghdad, which could happen in the next day or two. But there's also the hope of some sort of diplomatic resolution before this situation becomes a runaway train. I don't think either side wants to see this prolonged.
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There's no economic news due Friday, no earnings, and not many people are going to be around. We could gain a little Friday if the seasonal tendencies kick in, but it won't be a significant move. I don't think this week is indicative of what's going on in the market generally.
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I see people getting more encouraged, ... We need more companies to announce things are going to get better in the third and fourth quarters -- but things are getting better.
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As it stands, you have a continuation of some people wanting to take profits after the run this year. If the market is up this week, it's going to be muted.
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This is impressive, but the caveat is that this is the day after a holiday and not many people are in. You also have certain key sectors, like chips and the insurers, not participating. I think you need to see a few more days of this to determine whether today is a head fake or not.
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The stock market is a discounting mechanism. Many people recently have seen their mortgages raised -- and many people have adjustable rate mortgages -- unfortunately they have been raised. Oil prices are at near highs. It impacts people's discretionary income. And I think we're seeing it in those stocks that would have a relationship to that discretionary income.
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Right now it looks pretty benign, with people selling a little after the retail sales numbers. Long-term I'm bullish, but I'm getting concerned in the short-term as to what is going to sustain the psychology if the economy doesn't start to show more of a pick-up.
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There's big fear. People are selling because they don't know what's going to happen. The news out of the BBC this morning that Iraq is getting ready for chemical warfare is a big part of it.
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A lot of people made a lot of money in the last two days, but nothing much has changed. We're still facing layoffs and the threat of action in Afghanistan, ... This is still a market that is focused on good corporate events going forward, and right now, we're not really seeing any.
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We're seeing some typical selling after a sharp run-up. People are buying the safe names, like Philip Morris (MO: Research, Estimates) and Coca-Cola (KO: Research, Estimates), and selling anything that seems suspicious.
buying morris people philip safe seeing seems selling sharp typical
We're seeing some typical selling after a sharp run-up, ... People are buying the safe names, like Philip Morris (MO: Research, Estimates) and Coca-Cola (KO: Research, Estimates), and selling anything that seems suspicious.