Peter Greene
Peter Greene
Peter Greeneis an American character actor, generally known for playing villains. Peter lives in New York...
ProfessionMovie Actor
Date of Birth8 October 1965
CityMontclair, NJ
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The 2003 rally was on low interest rates and a weak dollar. Now, that's changed. The dollar bottomed in February, and I think people are realizing what higher rates are going to mean for the stock market.
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Greenspan's comments are obviously a big turnaround from what he said last year. But the bond market is usually ahead of the Fed about interest rates, and it has priced in a rise.
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If new job creation is above 200,000 tomorrow, that would be viewed as very positive, but on the other hand, if the number is too high, that could create fears of an interest rate hike of 50 basis points, rather than the 25 the market is currently expecting.
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Interest rate fears are fully discounted now, which is why bonds are up today. That's why stocks are bouncing, why the utilities are rallying, regional bank groups are rallying. But I don't think the market is going to have much more lift here.
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Interest rate fears are fully discounted now, which is why bonds are up today, ... That's why stocks are bouncing, why the utilities are rallying, regional bank groups are rallying. But I don't think the market is going to have much more lift here.
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The dollar's strength and the bond market's weakness right now is changing the way people are seeing things, ... It's telling us that interest rates are likely to rise and that commodity prices are likely to come down.
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What's happening today is very telling of where the market is right now. Typically, when there is negative news people tend to make 'flight-to-safety' moves into bonds and gold, but that isn't happening. That tells me that asset classes in the near term are very tired, and that we could see more of a pull back from here over the next few months.
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The stock market is a discounting mechanism. Many people recently have seen their mortgages raised -- and many people have adjustable rate mortgages -- unfortunately they have been raised. Oil prices are at near highs. It impacts people's discretionary income. And I think we're seeing it in those stocks that would have a relationship to that discretionary income.
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The stock looks very attractive, and they have a potential cancer drug and a potential Alzheimer's drug,
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I see people getting more encouraged, ... We need more companies to announce things are going to get better in the third and fourth quarters -- but things are getting better.
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The rising influence of celebrities and the focus on entertaining among the Generation X set is a positive trend for the industry. There's plenty of opportunity ahead for manufacturers and retailers who recognize and leverage today's trends in entertaining.
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There's some worry that the economic growth won't be as strong as had been hoped and that's taking stocks lower, ... It's the combination of GDP not growing as fast as had been hoped, and the Dow Transports, which is a leading economic indicator, falling as well.
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There's incredible volatility at the end of a quarter and a lot of window dressing going on.
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Right now, the market is in a bit of a fog, as it's being pushed and pulled in different directions.