Peter Beutel
Peter Beutel
energy major prices recession time triple
Every time energy prices triple we have a major recession in 1½ to 2 years.
amount appear behind corner damage fact gasoline highest less prices rather reacting repair run seen time turned yes
It does appear we've turned the corner here in this market. They're reacting to the fact that there was less damage than expected, rather than the amount of damage that did occur. Yes, it's going to take time to repair these refineries, and yes there will be at least one day we'll see prices run up. But I think we've probably seen the highest gasoline prices behind us.
drop factors higher middle move nigerian number october production time
Still, the middle of October is the time for us to look at a top. A number of fundamentals that used to move higher are getting pretty stale. The drop in production from the U.S. Gulf, the Nigerian strike, a lot of these factors aren't getting any worse.
behind effect exactly katrina remains tight time tomorrow weather worst
It's going to take a long time before we know exactly how to look at this, what effect Katrina is having long-term. I would like to say for now at least the worst is behind us. What tomorrow brings, particularly on the weather front, remains to be seen. We're still in a tight situation.
happened happens higher human looking market nervous reasons time worst year
We don't know how much of the refinery is down or for how long. But not to negate the human tragedy, it happened at the worst time of the year seasonally. And it happens at a time the market is nervous and looking for reasons to go higher anyway.
capacity demand fuel gasoline jet last less night oil production reports sign spare strong switch time year
At this time of year we have seasonal maintenance on refineries as they switch over from heating oil production to gasoline production. Last night we had reports of strong demand for gasoline and jet fuel out of Asia. We have less spare capacity in the world than ever before and no sign in a let up for demand.
gasoline lines looking maybe worst
We could be looking at gasoline lines and $4 gas, maybe even $5 gas, if this thing does the worst it could do,
fact further gear ignored kicked proof
The very fact that it was ignored is further proof that we are now in a bearish market. We feel that we may have kicked into a new gear on the downside.
ask increase traders
There's some apprehension about the report. If we don't see an increase in distillate inventories, traders are going to ask when we will before winter.
ask increase traders
There's some apprehension about the report, ... If we don't see an increase in distillate inventories, traders are going to ask when we will before winter.
acting fact fallen prices seem telling
Prices to me seem to be sick. I don't know if it's something to do with the economy. The fact that they're acting so sick, that they've fallen down and they can't get up is telling me that it may be something structural.
beyond difficulty either moving prices range seem trading
Prices seem to be in a trading range between $57 and $64. They are having difficulty moving beyond either of those borders.
afternoon anyone exactly friday goes gulf katrina likelihood looks market people point short talking
At this point it looks like $70 is squarely in the market's sights, and people are talking about it as a done deal, ... The likelihood is that if Katrina goes into the Gulf and we don't know exactly where it will make landfall, anyone short in this market Friday afternoon will panic.
meet position spare unit vital
We're already in the position where every refinery unit is vital just to meet demand. We don't have any spare capacity. That's what it makes it so critical.