Peter Beutel
Peter Beutel
decent demand finally report showing
This week's DOE report showed a decent withdrawal in distillate stocks, with demand finally showing some teeth.
although bigger demand felt high looks picture prices shifting supply top worst
It now looks like the post-Katrina high will be the top for a long time. Although the supply picture is the worst it has ever been, the weakening demand picture is an even bigger worry. Demand is shifting underfoot as high prices are felt by consumers.
concerned cut demand drop hawks number second threats
OPEC hawks are still concerned that demand could drop dramatically during the second quarter. But with there being a number of threats to supplies, the cartel did not feel it made sense to cut output.
capacity demand fuel gasoline jet last less night oil production reports sign spare strong switch time year
At this time of year we have seasonal maintenance on refineries as they switch over from heating oil production to gasoline production. Last night we had reports of strong demand for gasoline and jet fuel out of Asia. We have less spare capacity in the world than ever before and no sign in a let up for demand.
demand fall moves seat supply
If demand is not going to fall and keep on falling, then supply moves back into the driver's seat in this market.
gasoline lines looking maybe worst
We could be looking at gasoline lines and $4 gas, maybe even $5 gas, if this thing does the worst it could do,
fact further gear ignored kicked proof
The very fact that it was ignored is further proof that we are now in a bearish market. We feel that we may have kicked into a new gear on the downside.
ask increase traders
There's some apprehension about the report. If we don't see an increase in distillate inventories, traders are going to ask when we will before winter.
ask increase traders
There's some apprehension about the report, ... If we don't see an increase in distillate inventories, traders are going to ask when we will before winter.
acting fact fallen prices seem telling
Prices to me seem to be sick. I don't know if it's something to do with the economy. The fact that they're acting so sick, that they've fallen down and they can't get up is telling me that it may be something structural.
beyond difficulty either moving prices range seem trading
Prices seem to be in a trading range between $57 and $64. They are having difficulty moving beyond either of those borders.
energy major prices recession time triple
Every time energy prices triple we have a major recession in 1½ to 2 years.
afternoon anyone exactly friday goes gulf katrina likelihood looks market people point short talking
At this point it looks like $70 is squarely in the market's sights, and people are talking about it as a done deal, ... The likelihood is that if Katrina goes into the Gulf and we don't know exactly where it will make landfall, anyone short in this market Friday afternoon will panic.
meet position spare unit vital
We're already in the position where every refinery unit is vital just to meet demand. We don't have any spare capacity. That's what it makes it so critical.