Peter Beutel
Peter Beutel
area exactly follows knocks production rita
If Rita follows through on its course, all rigs in the area will be evacuated and production will be affected, which is exactly what we don't need, and if Rita knocks out any more refineries, we're in real trouble,
capacity demand fuel gasoline jet last less night oil production reports sign spare strong switch time year
At this time of year we have seasonal maintenance on refineries as they switch over from heating oil production to gasoline production. Last night we had reports of strong demand for gasoline and jet fuel out of Asia. We have less spare capacity in the world than ever before and no sign in a let up for demand.
drop factors higher middle move nigerian number october production time
Still, the middle of October is the time for us to look at a top. A number of fundamentals that used to move higher are getting pretty stale. The drop in production from the U.S. Gulf, the Nigerian strike, a lot of these factors aren't getting any worse.
barrels million production raise
They would have to raise production by more than a million barrels a day to get it down to $25,
amount huge oil stocks
With oil stocks so low, there's a huge amount of concern.
avoided gulf half storm traders
With another storm threatening the half the Gulf that avoided Katrina, it has traders spooked this morning,
decent demand finally report showing
This week's DOE report showed a decent withdrawal in distillate stocks, with demand finally showing some teeth.
gasoline lines looking maybe worst
We could be looking at gasoline lines and $4 gas, maybe even $5 gas, if this thing does the worst it could do,
energy major prices recession time triple
Every time energy prices triple we have a major recession in 1½ to 2 years.
afternoon anyone exactly friday goes gulf katrina likelihood looks market people point short talking
At this point it looks like $70 is squarely in the market's sights, and people are talking about it as a done deal, ... The likelihood is that if Katrina goes into the Gulf and we don't know exactly where it will make landfall, anyone short in this market Friday afternoon will panic.
bad good market news week
The good news is, we have a week to get ready. The bad news is that the market has all week to react.
broke funds mutual oil
We also broke an important barrier. Once oil broke $62.50, a lot of mutual funds and speculators started buying.
almost damage gas hurricane monday oil selling traders
If we come back on Monday and there is no new hurricane and Wilma has not done any damage to oil and gas production, then I think traders will be selling almost in relief,
problems seems supply
One of the big problems is that it seems there's no supply to see us through the end of the year.