Michael Carty
Michael Carty
Michael Cartywas an Irish Fianna Fáil politician. Born in Loughrea, County Galway to Lawrence and Josephine Carty, he was the eldest of seven children. A schoolteacher by profession, he was first elected to Dáil Éireann as a Fianna Fáil TD for the Galway South constituency at the 1957 general election. From 1961 to 1969, he represented the Galway East constituency, and from 1969 to 1973 the Clare–Galway South constituency. He retired from politics in 1973...
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Even with oil, the expectation seems to be that higher prices are something we have to live with for now.
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There are some negatives out there, but manufacturing and factory orders seem to be coming back and there will be a lot of rebuilding down in the Southeast. I think we've basically been too negative.
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Although people are somewhat concerned about where the economy is going, some rational exuberance is finally entering the market. Investors have been so pessimistic for so long that it seemed to be endemic, but people are beginning to believe there's an end in sight to all of this (bad news).
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There seems to be a lot of economic momentum and earnings momentum fueling this market.
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I don't think that anyone is immune to interest rates. Although the Justice Department said it wanted to divide (Microsoft) into two parts, the judge seemed to be disinclined to do that. However, if the Justice Department does decide to do that, we're going to have a difficult time in the near-term.
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Certainly we like certain specialty retailers. We like the regional banks. These are companies and industries that have earned money through the recession, are continuing to earn money and seem like reasonably safe bets,
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In most election years, stocks are up. But when you think about the kinds of policies that are going to be implemented, the market gets a little worried. So, I would say up until the election you will see some very interesting dynamics. If they feel that a demonstration is favorable, drug stocks will get in then and all of a sudden the drug stocks will start looking hot. If the economy seems to be moving along nicely the high-tech new economy-type stocks will continue to do well,
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The markets seem to be rising as a consequence of the fact that the Federal Reserve had decreased the interest rate by half a percentage point and the fact that people began to believe the Fed was going to do whatever it can do to continue to see the economy turn around.
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We've been somewhat concerned with transportation companies, trucking, mainly because of the fact that we're not in a very strong economic recovery.
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These concerns are going to keep us from going too high. The general trend is up, but it won't make investors euphoric, at least until after the election.
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These companies wouldn't be making these deals if they didn't have cash and if they didn't see strong economic growth ahead, so the deals are positive for sentiment.
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Earnings continue to remain strong, even for the technology companies, so I think, with the Federal Reserve saying we're afraid of a recession more than inflation, you're seeing bargain hunters coming in.
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First off, Microsoft does have a good product mix, ... It has a five-year earnings growth rate, which is somewhere around 15 percent because it is a giant after all.
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Right now the general direction is up and that's because of the economy. But there is still a tremendous amount of skepticism about analysts' forecasts and the ability for corporations to repair profits that could challenge us next week.