Michael Carty
Michael Carty
Michael Cartywas an Irish Fianna Fáil politician. Born in Loughrea, County Galway to Lawrence and Josephine Carty, he was the eldest of seven children. A schoolteacher by profession, he was first elected to Dáil Éireann as a Fianna Fáil TD for the Galway South constituency at the 1957 general election. From 1961 to 1969, he represented the Galway East constituency, and from 1969 to 1973 the Clare–Galway South constituency. He retired from politics in 1973...
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I think the market came down over the last few days and is recovering now, and that recovery can probably continue through the end of the week.
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I think the energy prices are going to overhang us for a while, maybe a good long while. It's looking like there's going to be a problem with fuel prices again, and the markets are concerned the consumer is going to be tapped out by the end of the year.
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Today, American Power Conversion Corp., woke us up with a fairly bad report, and I think that's what's been keeping everybody bothered,
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If a company is so sure that their stock is a bargain that they're willing to buy it back, that's reassuring.
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In general, the news continues to be mostly good, but people are now waiting to see what the next rotation will be in stocks, or what the next catalyst will be to move the market higher.
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In most election years, stocks are up. But when you think about the kinds of policies that are going to be implemented, the market gets a little worried. So, I would say up until the election you will see some very interesting dynamics. If they feel that a demonstration is favorable, drug stocks will get in then and all of a sudden the drug stocks will start looking hot. If the economy seems to be moving along nicely the high-tech new economy-type stocks will continue to do well,
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I kind of like consumer non-durables, (they are) all expected to earn 20 to 25 percent or better this fiscal year, ... They have good returns on equity, 15 percent plus. And I think they're priced appropriately within their price-to-earnings multiples.
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I do like computer software, and electronics. And therefore, you know my top picks right now would be large-cap companies in a high-growth area with good, solid, clean balance sheet, good return on equity and good earning projections.
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Investors have a long memory -- in those cases where we've had major oil shocks, overall demand has dried up, ... People are looking towards and fearing a slow-growth, inflationary environment -- stagflation.
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Investors are taking a 'wait and see' attitude. They want to see if the market has really bottomed after hitting the lows of the year earlier this week, and if the next leg of this is a rally. I tend to think it is.
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Investor psychology is switching from fear to a little bit of greed. What you see is psychology working here today.
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Investors still have a lot of rebuilding of confidence before they jump back in with both feet. They're (investors) not in a rush to get in -- they've already tried all the buying on dips they intended to do and they want to make sure this is the last dip.
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I don't think the evidence supports the view that we will get there. But it's a situation that bears watching.
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I don't think that anyone is immune to interest rates. Although the Justice Department said it wanted to divide (Microsoft) into two parts, the judge seemed to be disinclined to do that. However, if the Justice Department does decide to do that, we're going to have a difficult time in the near-term.