Michael Carty
Michael Carty
Michael Cartywas an Irish Fianna Fáil politician. Born in Loughrea, County Galway to Lawrence and Josephine Carty, he was the eldest of seven children. A schoolteacher by profession, he was first elected to Dáil Éireann as a Fianna Fáil TD for the Galway South constituency at the 1957 general election. From 1961 to 1969, he represented the Galway East constituency, and from 1969 to 1973 the Clare–Galway South constituency. He retired from politics in 1973...
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We're seeing some jitters about the Middle East as it relates to our presidential election. But I think the trend should remain up. Earnings are certainly strong, and I think the market should follow that. The only thing we have to fear is more talk about interest rates.
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We're seeing a little turnaround, after so much negative news. It's also the end of the quarter, so portfolio managers need to do a little window dressing.
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I think we're seeing investors being convinced that we hit the bottom and from here we'll go through some softening of the economy. But if we're going to get back into the market, we want to do it now because the market is a leading indicator.
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Earnings continue to remain strong, even for the technology companies, so I think, with the Federal Reserve saying we're afraid of a recession more than inflation, you're seeing bargain hunters coming in.
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There's just no obligation to jump in until we start seeing better (profit) reports and that won't be until July.
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Tech has been so weak for so long that no one wanted to touch it. But people are looking at it again. Although the tech picture looked bleak for the last three years, people are seeing that there are going to be survivors, the leaders in the sectors.
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The market is moving forward and then back again. We're seeing the glass half-full one day and half-empty the next. This shows that investors are still very tentative and that's also reflected in the light trading volume. The bear is still very young and its having a difficult time standing up.
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We're in this confessional period where there's nothing but bad news coming into the market place now and investors have become really cynical.
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We like auto parts and accessories; we even like Pep Boys. They have a return on equity similar to AutoZone, which has a return on equity somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 percent,
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There are some rumors that although the market is open, a lot of people have decided to take long holidays, and so I think you'll see a drop in volume next week.
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There are some negatives out there, but manufacturing and factory orders seem to be coming back and there will be a lot of rebuilding down in the Southeast. I think we've basically been too negative.
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Yesterday (Monday) was a technical rally. There's still a lot of uncertainty about a potential recession and about what's going to happen on the diplomatic front.
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There are a lot of good things happening right now, but the market continues to focus on Iraq, interest rates, the presidential election, and particularly right now, the high-profile earnings misses.
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Markets tend to be very uneasy during the election year. One of the problems is that no one wanted to make a big commitment without knowing who was going to be at the helm.