Michael Carty
Michael Carty
Michael Cartywas an Irish Fianna Fáil politician. Born in Loughrea, County Galway to Lawrence and Josephine Carty, he was the eldest of seven children. A schoolteacher by profession, he was first elected to Dáil Éireann as a Fianna Fáil TD for the Galway South constituency at the 1957 general election. From 1961 to 1969, he represented the Galway East constituency, and from 1969 to 1973 the Clare–Galway South constituency. He retired from politics in 1973...
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The new orders index was better, profits are going to be up a little, interest rates are at a record low, there have been so many layoffs that that may start to dry up, there will be rising productivity and higher profit margins -- all these things combined could give some support,
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The weakness today doesn't concern me, ... There's a little profit taking after the five up sessions and there's some jitters over the dollar's decline, but I think it's pretty clear that the earnings are going to be quite good.
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Right now the general direction is up and that's because of the economy. But there is still a tremendous amount of skepticism about analysts' forecasts and the ability for corporations to repair profits that could challenge us next week.
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This has been the strongest quarter in three or four years, and so you'd expect investors to want to take some profits as the quarter is winding down.
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We're in this confessional period where there's nothing but bad news coming into the market place now and investors have become really cynical.
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We're seeing some jitters about the Middle East as it relates to our presidential election. But I think the trend should remain up. Earnings are certainly strong, and I think the market should follow that. The only thing we have to fear is more talk about interest rates.
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We're seeing a little turnaround, after so much negative news. It's also the end of the quarter, so portfolio managers need to do a little window dressing.
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We like auto parts and accessories; we even like Pep Boys. They have a return on equity similar to AutoZone, which has a return on equity somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 percent,
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There are some rumors that although the market is open, a lot of people have decided to take long holidays, and so I think you'll see a drop in volume next week.
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There are some negatives out there, but manufacturing and factory orders seem to be coming back and there will be a lot of rebuilding down in the Southeast. I think we've basically been too negative.
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Yesterday (Monday) was a technical rally. There's still a lot of uncertainty about a potential recession and about what's going to happen on the diplomatic front.
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There are a lot of good things happening right now, but the market continues to focus on Iraq, interest rates, the presidential election, and particularly right now, the high-profile earnings misses.
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Markets tend to be very uneasy during the election year. One of the problems is that no one wanted to make a big commitment without knowing who was going to be at the helm.
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I was very impressed with the last couple days' performance, in particular with the Dow, which rallied nicely. But we're in this pre-announcement period and although there haven't been too many negative comments, there's some hesitation on the part of investors because of that.