Douglas Altabef

Douglas Altabef
continues economic far few last news ongoing played profit recovery relief seeing taking
Profit news continues to be good, and we are seeing some relief from the profit taking of the last few weeks. But there is an ongoing tug-of-war between 'we've come too far too fast,' and 'the economic recovery is strong' and you're seeing that played out on a day-to-day basis.
brief continue good last markets moving stock year
You'll see markets continue to do the Cha-Cha, moving higher, but paced by brief retrenchments. It's not going to be as good as last year, but I think 2004 will still be a good year for the stock markets.
bias continue conviction forecasts moderately people seeing seem stock support upwards year
The forecasts for the second-half of the year for the most part seem to support a recovery, but to some extent, that's already priced into the market, so you're not seeing that much stock reaction. There's not a lot of conviction and some people will take profits. But I think there will continue to be a moderately upwards bias for the remainder of the year.
attempt continues decided events hold iraq market meaningful result seem signal somewhat unfolding united
The market continues to attempt to find a footing. Essentially, we are still somewhat on hold as a result of events unfolding between the United States, Iraq and the United Nations. There just doesn't seem to be a meaningful signal that Iraq has decided to disarm.
case expect higher january jump lower massive people percent profit run wanting year
We expect the year to end 2 to 3 percent higher or lower than where it is now. The case for it going down is a massive run of profit taking. The case for it going up is people wanting to get a jump on the January rally.
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These accounting worries go right to the underpinnings of trust and confidence. If trust isn't there, you're tugging at the loose thread of a cheap polyester suit. People are worried about what other shoes are getting ready to drop.
attitude earnings higher late numbers reaction return saw seeing starting talk whisper
Earnings have been good, but what you're starting to see is a return to the attitude about earnings that we saw in the late 1990's, where you're seeing more talk about whisper numbers, higher expectations, and a more punitive reaction to numbers that disappoint.
advance caused coming comments oil
Ostensibly, the advance was caused by oil coming down and some of the comments with the beige book.
figure people trying
People are trying to figure out what the real-world implications of AOL's announcement are.
exciting market tech year
We think one of the more exciting opportunities this year in the market are in the tech sector.
compelling days few news reason stocks today
There's no real compelling reason for stocks to be up. But you've got little new news and there's an upward bias, so we're up today after a few days of selling.
catch start
Merrill may be more of a tortoise, but they'll start to catch up.
indicate likely people return seem seen volume waiting
I think if you look at volume it would seem to indicate there very likely may be a return of investors. People who are more opportunistic have seen the signs. But a lot of people are waiting for clarity.
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We were going to have a knee-jerk negative reaction to the Fed's decision no matter what, with so many different opinions on what should be done, but I think today, it may be that people are looking more closely at the statement and see it as the Fed saying things are slowly going in the right direction.