Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
buyers classic couple days definition few lower people rally selling strong
I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.
economic fed historic job months morning near raise rates reports several strong until
The Fed is not going to raise rates until they see several months of strong job growth. And even if they do raise rates slightly, the rates will still be right near these historic lows. GDP this morning was not as strong as expected, but you had the other two economic reports that were good.
bought came cell components division dropped earnings electronic equipment original parts potential strong wireless
They make electronic components for the original equipment manufacturers. In February, they bought the Motorola ( MOT ) division that makes parts for wireless cell phones. Well, it came down a little bit..made a new high, dropped a little bit, and is now on the way back up. They have the potential strong earnings growth.
bulk comments earnings economic fourth holiday positive quarter season stocks strong
By November, the bulk of the third-quarter earnings will be out there, and we know that they've been pretty good. But for stocks to go higher, we're going to need another catalyst. Expectations for a strong fourth quarter could do it, positive comments on the holiday season could do it, but really, I think it's going to be the economic news.
almost close companies company earnings economy energy future grow growth issue last machines mean obviously percent profit quarter strong technology top washing weak
We're projecting technology earnings are going to grow almost 40 percent this quarter and that's on top of a very, very strong 1999. Energy company earnings obviously will grow close to 80 percent, but that's on top of a weak '99. So there are companies that should have leadership. After all, if you look at the companies that issue profit warnings last week; Maytag, McDonald's, I mean I don't think the future of growth of American economy is washing machines or cheeseburgers.
believe decision late market move rallying saw soft sold strongly talk
Some late talk was circulating that they would move their bias. We also saw the market rallying strongly into the decision and we sold off on the disappointment. I believe we're more on the way to a soft landing.
advance fed market raising strongly
The market really can't advance that strongly as long as the Fed is raising rates.
among companies compared earnings strong technology year
The earnings among technology companies this year will be up something like 30 percent. And remember, that's compared to a strong 1999.
bear few grin maybe next november optimistic run
I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December.
completed extent fed justifies rally reaction stunned
It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction.
bad earnings
Earnings have come in not as bad as the expectations.
determine events fed hurdles jobs market meeting month next november reaction report tone tuesday week whether
The big hurdles next week are the Fed meeting Tuesday and the jobs report Friday. The market reaction to those events may set the tone for the month and determine whether we'll see a November rally.
mean relief tremendous
There's tremendous relief after all the selling, and statistically, we have some verification that this could be a bottom. But that doesn't mean we're going to see another day like this. There's still tremendous negativity.
felt low maybe news people rally rates seeing seemed sure
I'm not so sure that the rally was commensurate with the news out of the Fed. They seemed to say that they're going to keep rates low for a long time, which wasn't a surprise, but maybe people felt better seeing it spelled out more clearly.