Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
determine events fed hurdles jobs market meeting month next november reaction report tone tuesday week whether
The big hurdles next week are the Fed meeting Tuesday and the jobs report Friday. The market reaction to those events may set the tone for the month and determine whether we'll see a November rally.
economic fed historic job months morning near raise rates reports several strong until
The Fed is not going to raise rates until they see several months of strong job growth. And even if they do raise rates slightly, the rates will still be right near these historic lows. GDP this morning was not as strong as expected, but you had the other two economic reports that were good.
next reporting statement
The wording of the statement will be important, and then you've also got Cisco and Dell reporting next week.
business confidence consumer corporate economic good industry linked negative profits recovery reports suffering travel worried
Right now business stinks, consumer confidence is down, the travel industry is suffering and the economic reports haven't been good and any economic recovery is going to be linked to the war. There haven't been too many first-quarter negative pre-announcements, but I'm still worried about corporate profits in the first quarter.
bell help including looked reports texas
The reports after the bell looked pretty good, including Texas Instruments, and that should probably help the techs tomorrow.
center companies earnings good greenspan help hope looking market people reporting speaks tomorrow
Hewlett-Packard had good earnings so that should help the techs tomorrow. The other companies reporting tomorrow aren't usually market movers. Greenspan also speaks to Congress, which people will be looking at, but I don't think he'll say anything too surprising. So the hope is that HP earnings will take center stage.
consumer economic leading news reports rotation seeing stocks tech today
Today is very news driven. You've got GE, you've got HPQ, and the economic reports were a little better. It's the tech stocks that are leading the way. You're seeing a rotation out of the consumer stocks and into the techs.
confidence consider consumer report victory
We have the consumer confidence report tomorrow. I don't see how that's going to be any good. I would consider it a victory if we get (a reading) of 82.
basically earnings ended market period range reporting top waiting
The market's at the top of a range here. The earnings reporting period basically ended with Dell and now the market is waiting for a new catalyst.
bear few grin maybe next november optimistic run
I'm maybe more optimistic for the end of the year, but for the next few weeks, I think we are still in these treacherous waters. We're just going to have to grin and bear it, and then maybe we'll see a run up in November and December.
completed extent fed justifies rally reaction stunned
It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction.
bad earnings
Earnings have come in not as bad as the expectations.
mean relief tremendous
There's tremendous relief after all the selling, and statistically, we have some verification that this could be a bottom. But that doesn't mean we're going to see another day like this. There's still tremendous negativity.
felt low maybe news people rally rates seeing seemed sure
I'm not so sure that the rally was commensurate with the news out of the Fed. They seemed to say that they're going to keep rates low for a long time, which wasn't a surprise, but maybe people felt better seeing it spelled out more clearly.