Bryan Piskorowski
Bryan Piskorowski
autumn christmas gunpowder happen left month rally saw time wrapping year
We're wrapping up a year where we saw the Christmas rally happen in the autumn time frame. There's not much gunpowder left in December, so it's a month of digestion.
basically believe bottom clearly coming either fed feels hanging interest last line market meeting month obviously percent pinned position range rate side taking trading
Clearly trading here in the month of May feels more like August. But bottom line here, yes, we are, we're pinned in by interest rate uncertainty; we're pinned in by the Fed meeting coming up at the end of June. Obviously with those two things hanging over our head, the bottom line is the market really hasn't been taking a position on either side of the coin. In the last two weeks, we've basically been trading -- I can't believe this -- in the 10 percent range on the Nasdaq. But that's what it's been.
feels month trading
Clearly, trading here in the month of May feels more like August.
economy few figure months
It's going to take us a few months to figure out how much the economy is slowing.
bit bullish fact month picture strongest supports
The big picture here is that we're pretty quiet. We are in the seasonally strongest month of the year, so that supports us, but the fact that everyone's so bullish is a bit worrisome.
bottom consensus numbers seem trying undermine
We keep trying to see a consensus for when things will bottom out. But then we keep getting these numbers that would seem to undermine that.
hard hero market nobody past people step trade willing
You have nobody willing to be a hero here -- it's hard for people to step up to the plate. Trade over the past two sessions has been very speculative. If you removed Iraq, you'd probably have a market that was doing OK.
bring data forth forthright question side understand
We understand the manufacturing side is in a recession. The question is, Will the data bring forth a more forthright (aggressive) Fed?
beyond broke coming earnings economic land selling sitting support technical waiting
You got technical selling coming in as we broke a support level. Beyond that, we're just sitting here in no-man's land waiting for earnings announcements and economic data.
gains last profit seeing trying week
We've had pretty sizable gains in the last two days, so you're seeing a little rotating out of sectors and some profit taking. Last week we had a one-hit wonder. This week we're trying to see if we can do a little better.
earnings fact forecasts good grips hanging looking proof puts recovery timing trying ultimately understand
Ultimately what we're trying to come to grips with is the fact that we understand that second-quarter earnings are not going to be good but the timing of a recovery is hanging over our head. We'll get some forecasting, looking out, but it's what those forecasts say that puts proof in the pudding.
apathy bear cause effect general market positions psychology taking toward viewed
We don't need a cause and effect here. We have bear psychology gripping the market so there's general apathy toward taking positions -- rallies are viewed as short-lived and trader-oriented.
four giving good healthy percent ran
We ran 8 percent in four sessions, and now we're giving some of it back. It's just good old-fashioned, healthy profit-taking more than anything else.
congress corporate drama good lack left means people quiet reporting
But it's going to be a quiet week. A lot of people are on vacation, there's little in corporate reporting or econ data, Congress is still in recess. We lack drama right now, which means we're going to be left to our own devices, which could be good or bad.