Alan Skrainka
Alan Skrainka
confusion earnings focus future hot interest picture sector tech turns
Techs were hot and everything else was not on confusion about the future of interest rates. When the interest-rate picture is cloudy, the focus turns to earnings. And earnings in the tech sector have been good.
continues dominated economic focused goals market remains stay
I think the market remains hypersensitive to these (economic) reports. You should stay focused on your long-term goals and not short-term economic reports, but the market continues to be dominated by fear, uncertainty and confusion.
focused interest investors measures rates return seeing value
You're seeing a return to traditional measures of value as investors become more focused on things like (price-to-earnings ratios), interest rates and earnings.
again brakes earnings few focus investors people seat shifting tap volatile
I think it was a very volatile and directionless week. Investors should tap on the brakes a few times and strap on their seat belts. (Last week) was very earnings driven, and now it's shifting and people are going to focus once again on value.
central fact focusing four greenspan increased investors needs rates saying slow work
Investors are focusing on Greenspan and the fact that he said they (the central bank) had increased rates four times and it did little to slow the economy. He is saying more work needs to be done.
focus individual investors noise numbers separate week
Individual investors have to separate the statistical noise of week to week numbers and focus on the big picture.
acted analysis customers earnings fed growth guess market neutral next overall points practice price promptly service shifting solid technical trend year
We feel we can do a service to our customers if we just get the overall trend right. We don't really practice technical analysis or try to guess the price points next week. But the trend does look like it's higher, because the Fed now is probably shifting into neutral earnings are very strong. And because the Fed acted promptly they ensured we would have another year of solid growth next year. That is what the market is anticipating.
drives fed hikes inflation line low market next pressure psychology rate short
We think, in the short run, psychology drives the market but in the long run, fundamentals drive the market. We see very low inflation and no inflationary pressures. We think, going forward, expectations have come back down in line with fundamentals and we won't have the pressure of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months.
confusing data determine far few half hike next percentage point quarter raise signs slowing whether
The signs of slowing are few and far between. I think it's really the data between now and (the next meeting) that will determine whether it will be a quarter percentage or half percentage point hike but I think it would be confusing not to raise (rates).
change decision investment prior rule
They already made an investment decision prior to the rule change being official.
aggressive economy gotten policy problems responses word
The word for 2001 is look for opportunities. There are problems in the economy but they have gotten aggressive responses from policy makers.
attribute earnings environment market rising weakness
Earnings have been fantastic. Any weakness in the market you've got to attribute to (the) rising interest-rate environment.
computer concern corporate information personal reduced sales slowing technology
There's still a lot of concern about slowing personal computer sales and reduced corporate information technology purchases.
august fed hike inflation leave people rates risks saying toward waiting
People are waiting for the Fed. I think the Fed will leave rates alone, probably say that the risks are tilted toward inflation and people are also saying they'll come back in August and hike again.