Alan Skrainka
Alan Skrainka
drives fed hikes inflation line low market next pressure psychology rate short
We think, in the short run, psychology drives the market but in the long run, fundamentals drive the market. We see very low inflation and no inflationary pressures. We think, going forward, expectations have come back down in line with fundamentals and we won't have the pressure of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months.
acted analysis customers earnings fed growth guess market neutral next overall points practice price promptly service shifting solid technical trend year
We feel we can do a service to our customers if we just get the overall trend right. We don't really practice technical analysis or try to guess the price points next week. But the trend does look like it's higher, because the Fed now is probably shifting into neutral earnings are very strong. And because the Fed acted promptly they ensured we would have another year of solid growth next year. That is what the market is anticipating.
behind fed time
I think this is one time the Fed is behind the curve.
fed prepare
The Fed often overshoots and I think you have to prepare for that outcome.
bond broader fed investors market pushed raise talking weak
The bond market was so weak all day that it pushed the broader market lower. Investors weren't talking about if the Fed will raise rates, but how much.
bet change commitment convinced federal meeting nobody people prior quiet rates reserve today tomorrow wants
It's just been a very quiet day. Nobody wants to make a big bet prior to tomorrow's decision. People are pretty convinced that the Federal Reserve won't make a change to rates but they want to see the statement. It doesn't make a lot of sense to make a big commitment today when you have such an important meeting tomorrow (Tuesday).
august fed hike inflation leave people rates risks saying toward waiting
People are waiting for the Fed. I think the Fed will leave rates alone, probably say that the risks are tilted toward inflation and people are also saying they'll come back in August and hike again.
address economy fed generating higher hot inflation interest
The economy is way too hot and is generating inflation pressure. And the Fed is going to have to address it with higher interest rates.
buying investors taken three throwing time wake
There has been a lot of s elling that has taken place and you see so many analysts that are throwing in the towel. I think when investors wake up three or so years from today, they are going to look back on this time as a buying opportunity.
areas cancer fastest great growing pipeline
We think they do have a great pipeline in the areas of cardiovascular, cancer and AIDS. These are the fastest growing areas in the pharmaceutical industry.
against asian cheap compete flood
(U.S. companies) now have to compete against this flood of cheap Asian imports.
afford buying consuming home standard using
So many Americans are consuming by using their home equity. If you can't afford a standard mortgage, you probably shouldn't be buying a home.
concern economy far faster grew hard hikes interest maybe might people rate thinking
Maybe it's concern that the economy may have more of a hard landing. The economy grew a little faster than expected, so people might be thinking we're not done as far as interest rate hikes are concerned.
common companies dependent finding good great looking market people price slow strong value viewed
I think people are looking for good value in the market and they're finding it in 'old economy' stocks. What these companies have in common is they're all viewed as great companies at a strong price that are not dependent on a slow economy.