Alan Ackerman
Alan Ackerman
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Earnings, by and large, are what investors are hanging their hats on, ... Some earnings improvements have prompted some optimism, but we'll know more about that next week.
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Rate hikes bite different sectors of the economy at different rates. For example, one of the key areas that was hit hard and appears to be slowing down is housing. Consumer spending will take some time to slow down, maybe three to six months out. But in any case, what the Fed is targeting is                  GDP of 5 percent this year and a GDP hopefully next year of closer to 4 to 4-1/4 percent.
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I think people need to be concerned about the length of the technology cycle and the inability of most CEOs and analysts to predict the course of corporate earnings over the next several quarters.
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I think gains in the market have outrun fundamentals. The move has been too much too soon. I see the likelihood of a pullback next week.
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We go into next week with continued uncertainty and wall-to-wall worries. The month of August was full of negative surprises, and September seems to be headed in that direction.
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There is a better tone to the market and money is flowing back into both the Dow and the Nasdaq. Many think we've seen the worst and the next interest rate cut by the Fed (Federal Reserve) will help get the economy going.
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Next week will be very tense, full of sadness and recollections about Sept. 11 ... Prudent investors may not want to commit money until after we cross that date.
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We're beginning to come out of a recession. It's now a matter of just how meaningfully the economy can recover over the next quarter or two,
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Bargain hunters are surfacing today. The feeling going into next year is the economy is going to slow down.
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I like two stocks, Apache and Ocean Energy. I don't own either of them. The firm doesn't make a market in any of them. We don't have an investment banking relationship, to the best of my knowledge, but I think both stocks have done well in the poor market, ... Apache is really building a pipeline of reserves. They drill in seven major countries. They're natural gas rich. They have held in this market and I think we can look for big earnings coming up over the next year or two.
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Once again, it's anybody's guess next week. It would not surprise me to see people sell on strength, take a little cash off the table and wait for the markets to stabilize.
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However as we come closer to the next Fed meeting, and hopes are that the Fed will cut interest rates, we might have a relief rally.
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The market next week is anybody's guess. World nations are watching the United States.
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The market is attempting to stabilize after a terrific run, ... Many stocks moved up without any fundamental underpinnings and corporate earnings, by and large, look less than impressive. Portfolio managers are looking for visibility of earnings over the next quarter or two.