Al Goldman
Al Goldman
bit certain fed further future less policy rate saying
The Fed sounded a bit less certain about the need for future rate hikes, saying further policy firming 'may' be needed.
dramatic fed move today
The Fed made a dramatic move today and it was needed,
fed meeting raise rates
We do not think the Fed will raise rates at their meeting at the end of this month.
business control fed reason
And the Fed is in business for one reason only, and that is to try and control inflation.
federal increase interest rates report reserve sign
The report was a sign that the Federal Reserve may not need to increase interest rates as high.
although chance cut dramatic fed january move surprise today
It was a surprise although we thought it was a 50-50 chance the Fed would cut before the January meeting. The Fed made a dramatic move today and it was needed. The Fed is now our friend.
close ending far fed hike news rate support today
The news so far today would support those who think the Fed is not close to ending its rate hike cycle.
came close fed hikes rate saying
What they like is that the Fed came close to saying that the rate hikes are over.
appears bond concern excuse fed financial hike increased investment nervous predicting rates three
We have a very nervous investment environment. The excuse is bond rates are up and there is increased concern about the financial futures market, which appears to be predicting three more rate hike for the Fed funds.
basically believe degree favor fed good hates interest market next odds raise rates summer unless
The market hates surprises. But we believe the odds substantially favor that the Fed will not raise interest rates next week, and that the market will take that as some degree of relief, unless they say something nasty. But basically we think we're into a good summer rally.
beyond fed looks market mechanism months mood shook supportive therapy willing yesterday
The market is a discounting mechanism and typically looks six-to-nine months ahead. But now everyone is so shook up they're not willing to look beyond the end of their nose. What we need is a mood shift, and they (investors) got no supportive therapy from the Fed yesterday (Tuesday).
behind concern created employment falling fed funds impetus jobs labor less main market maybe points rate selling stop though tight
The main impetus behind the selling was the employment figures. Even though we created 193,000 new jobs, which was less than consensus, the unemployment rate falling to 4.7% points out that the labor market is very tight and this has conjured up concern the Fed may not stop at 4.75% on Fed funds but maybe it will go up to 5%.
bear bull dead mood
It's not going to be a one-way trip. But the bear is dead and we're transitioning from a bear mood to a bull mood.
catch change glass good half last market modest month mood rally shift
The big change in this market the last month or so has been a mood shift from 'the glass is half empty' to 'the glass is half full', and that's why we've had a good rally and a very modest time-out to catch our breath.