William Sullivan
William Sullivan
optimism stimulus
There's a lot of optimism that this stimulus is going to work.
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We're flying solo in the Treasury market, we're responding to the fundamentals.
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We're basking in the glow of negative inflation in the month of November.
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We're seeing some moderation in the pace of manufacturing activity as the third quarter gets under way.
funds grips
We are also in the grips of liquidations by hedge funds and a lot of dealers don't want to see big exposures,
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Research finds that green space produces consistently positive impact of less aggressive behavior, thus helping reduce violence. A community reading garden helps create positive effects. There should be hundreds of thousands of reading gardens all over the country.
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Our research finds that green space produces consistently positive impact, from stronger social ties to better attention skills and less aggressive behavior, helping reduce violence.
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Liquidation, liquidation, and more liquidation, ... It's a steady drumbeat of selling across the curve.
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I think right now the stock market is very comfortable with the benchmark 30-year-bond trading at between 6.5 and 7 percent. But if we start moving that range up to 7.25 and above, that could really be a major speed bump in the way of the stock market.
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It doesn't seem to be news-related, it seems to be more technical.
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It is my belief that the Fed is targeting the equity markets with this more aggressive provision of liquidity, ... The Fed wants the stock market to do some of the heavy lifting to get this economy moving.
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January could prove to be a very difficult month for bonds, just as December was. Long-term interest rates rose anywhere from 35 to 40 basis points last month, and we're obviously starting January on a very weak -- if not suspect -- note.
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I think what this may show is that we may have witnessed the peak levels of consumer confidence in the late spring and early summer. But it confirms that you do have spirits holding at a high level.
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Today the collective wisdom is that the economy will improve in the not-too-distant future, and that's hostile for bonds because it suggests that the Fed is done easing monetary policy and that financial markets may confront some interest-rate pressures as the economy improves and borrowing re-accelerates.