Tim Heekin
Tim Heekin
based betting earnings fourth guidance half numbers people quarters rally robust saying second seeing third year
Earnings have been fine, but they just haven't been as robust as people were hoping. The guidance for the third and fourth quarters hasn't been that strong, and part of the rally was based on people betting that the second half of the year would be good, so with the numbers not saying that, you're seeing some selling.
bit corporate created last news positive potential rally volume week
The news created volume on positive speculation about other potential corporate mergers. However, last week was a down week, so we have a little bit of a bounce-back rally Monday.
accounting catalyst continued corporate flirting key markets move rally support technical
We're flirting with key technical support levels. Markets rally but then can't sustain. There's continued nervousness about accounting and corporate profits, but no catalyst to move us out of it.
beginning buyers earnings good higher news rally ran time
I think the rally just ran out of gas. You're right at the beginning of the earnings reporting, and all the good news is priced in, and buyers are getting a little tired. I think it's time for a little pullback. After we see a little consolidation, then we can go higher again.
half people rally second setting themselves
After that period, you could see a rally in July, with people really setting themselves up then for the second half of the year.
build coming good jobs potential rally report run terms volume
The market's had a pretty good run this week, in terms of volume and gains, and I think coming in this morning, there was the potential to build on that rally if the jobs report was a blowout.
bonds coming fixed funds income money pension seeing shifting weeks
What started this two weeks ago was the big pension funds and other institutions coming in, seeing that bonds were getting over-valued and shifting money out of fixed income and into equities.
airlines drag steel
FedEx is a big drag today, Merck is down, steel is down, airlines are down, it's all weighing on the transports,
break good hold key moving technical tone towards
There's a good tone to the market. We're moving towards some key technical levels, particularly with the S&P 500. I think that if we can hold and then break through them, we could go higher.
bonds came finally funds high hold profits recent taking test
Bonds finally showed a little reversal. We put in a high on the long-terms and then dipped off of that. I think the big bond funds came in and started taking profits after the recent run. The real test will be if we can hold these levels.
badly bond flew looking money people performed performer sector tech worst
The tech sector as a whole has performed so badly this year; the Nasdaq has been the worst performer year-to-date. I think a lot of money flew into the 10-year bond during the conventions, during the Olympics, and now people are looking to put their money into the beaten-down sectors, like tech.
actions direction earnings market military picture true until
There's going to be no true market direction until the earnings picture and military actions become clearer.
economic friday hugely news next rest week
There's no economic news out Friday or Monday, and the economic news the rest of next week is not hugely influential,
bounce correct driving seeing sold
There's nothing fundamental driving these gains. The Nasdaq had sold off over 10 percent, the Dow and the S&P had started to correct as well, so you're seeing a bounce off of that.